05-12-2016
08:27 am
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Litecoin Price Weekly Analysis – Trading Near Critical Juncture




litecoin price juncture

Key Highlights

  • Litecoin price after trading as high as $3.64 started correcting lower, but it looks like the mentioned correction phase extended more than anticipated.
  • There is an expanding triangle pattern formed on the hourly chart (data feed from Bitfinex), which may ignite the next move.
  • The broken triangle trend line on the 2-hours chart (data feed from HitBTC) is currently acting as a support and preventing further losses.

Litecoin price is trading near a critical juncture, as a break below the $3.50 and a close may call for more losses and a change in the trend.

Can Buyers Prevent a Break?

We mentioned during this past week’s analysis that the $3.50-55 area holds the key for Litecoin price. The price settled above the stated level this past week and traded as high as $3.64. There was a bearish trend line on the hourly chart, which was cleared to take the price higher. Now, it looks like a short-term top is created near $3.64, as the price corrected higher. However, the correction phase extended more than anticipated, and if sellers remain in control, then the price may head further lower.

Litecoin Price Weekly Analysis

There is an expanding triangle pattern formed on the hourly chart (data feed from Bitfinex), which is currently acting as a support area. However, the price closed below the 100 hourly simple moving average, which is a bearish sign. Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3.42 low to $3.64 high is also broken by sellers. The price is currently finding bids near the triangle support area and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3.42 low to $3.64 high at $3.50.

If buyers fail to defend the $3.50 support area, and if price closes below the stated level, then a move towards the $3.45 level is possible in the near term. It could also call for a change in the trend from bullish to bearish. One important support area is around the broken triangle trend line on 2-hours chart with data feed from HitBTC. The highlighted trend line acted as a support on many occasions, and it looks like it may play a crucial role for both buyers and sellers in the near term.

Litecoin Price Weekly Analysis

One other key point to note is the fact that the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3.48 low to $3.72 is also around the broken trend line (data feed from HitBTC). The 100 simple moving average (H2) is also positioned around the broken trend line, suggesting that the price is at a critical level. Let us see if the price can move higher or break the highlighted support area in the short term. A move down could easily take the price towards the last swing low.

Looking at the indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is in the bearish slope, which is a sign of more losses in the short term.

Hourly RSI – The RSI is below the 50 level, suggesting sellers are in control.

Intraday Support Level – $3.50

Intraday Resistance Level – $3.58

 

Charts from Bitfinex and HitBTC; hosted by Trading View

Disclaimer: The information contained herein is not guaranteed, does not purport to be comprehensive and is strictly for information purposes only. It should not be regarded as investment/trading advice. All the information is believed to come from reliable sources. NewsBTC does not warrant the accuracy, correctness, or completeness of information in its analysis and therefore will not be liable for any loss incurred.

Published by

Aayush Jindal

Aayush has spent over seven years as a financial markets contributor and observer. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis, comes with an IT background. He possess strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency and commodities markets. He is a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

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