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Dogecoin (DOGE) is attempting to hold a crucial area as support after recording a 3.2% drop in the daily timeframe. Despite this, an analyst suggests that the leading memecoin is preparing to reclaim a key resistance level lost during the Q4 2025 pullbacks.
Dogecoin Q1 Momentum Builds
Dogecoin has seen a remarkable start to the year, recording a 21% jump from its yearly opening price of $0.117. Amid the recent market recovery, the cryptocurrency reclaimed a crucial price area and hit an eight-week high of $0.156 this Tuesday.
Notably, the largest memecoin by market capitalization had retraced more than 50% from its Q2 2025 highs and was in a downtrend until last week’s price breakout. Amid this performance, market observer Trader Tardigrade highlighted a pair of Tweezer candlesticks on the monthly chart, which could suggest a bullish reversal is taking place.
DOGE “has nearly recovered last month’s losses in just 8 days,” he explained, which signals that “clearly, bullish momentum is building up.” Notably, the analyst recently noted that DOGE has broken out of a bullish pattern, “showing strong upward momentum.”
According to the chart, the cryptocurrency displayed a three-month falling wedge in the three-day chart. Following the recent price surge, Dogecoin was able to breach the pattern’s upper boundary, signaling an initial jump to the $0.140-$0.150 area.
The trader highlighted that the memecoin displayed a similar performance during his 2024 rally, moving within a multi-month falling wedge before breaking out and kicking off a remarkable performance.
If DOGE repeats its previous performance, the price could retrace briefly to retest the breakout area as support before the next major surge, the market watcher added. He also pointed out that after breaking out of the daily trendline, the cryptocurrency appears to be forming a bullish pennant in the one-day chart.
A breakout from this pattern would lead to a 40% move toward the $0.20 area, lost during the early Q4 pullbacks. However, DOGE’s price needs to close the day above the $0.142 area to hold the formation.
DOGE’s Rally In Danger?
Despite the bullish outlooks, analyst Ali Martinez affirmed that Dogecoin is “hanging by a thread.” In a Thursday post, the market watcher emphasized that the cryptocurrency is trading within a crucial support zone between the local lows of $0.118 and the recent highs.
If the memecoin’s momentum doesn’t hold and the price loses this key zone, it could risk a more than 40% retrace. According to the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric cited by Martinez, the next major support is around $0.073, where over 28 billion DOGE tokens were previously exchanged.
The analyst has recently pointed out that cryptocurrency’s price is seemingly on track to retest the $0.08 level after breaking out of a multi-year ascending channel. The chart shows that Dogecoin traded within an ascending channel on the three-day chart since 2023.
However, the late 2025 corrections saw the memecoin lose the lower boundary of the ascending channel, potentially painting a concerning picture for its price if long-term bearish momentum continues.
As of this writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.142, a 14.55 increase in the weekly timeframe.
