Joshua T. Klein is a partner with Fox Rothschild LLP, who focuses his practice on financial services, restructuring and related services. He can be reached at jklein@foxrothschild.com.
The saga of Mt Gox and the exchange’s descent into insolvency is familiar to anyone that is interested in bitcoin, as that has dominated the bitcoin news for many months. Mt Gox filed for reorganization in Japan in February 2014 in a bid to save the company, however the Japanese court overseeing the insolvency ultimately refused to approve an attempt to reorganize the company.
As a result Mt Gox was then formally put into liquidation and a trustee was put in place to take over all Mt Gox assets. A corresponding chapter 15 bankruptcy proceeding was also filed in the United States, and the approval of that filing is still in limbo.
Furthermore, earlier this year a class action was filed in the United States by a Mt Gox customer in Illinois, as well as a similar suit in Canada. The United States class action was purportedly filed on behalf of 50,000 of Mt Gox’ approximately 127,000 customers/creditors. So the last three months have been rather busy in legal terms for Mt Gox and its customers, with active litigation and court proceedings taking place in at least four forums including Illinois, Texas, Canada and Japan. Once Mt Gox was put into liquidation in Japan, a lot of hope would have seemed lost for the exchange’s customers and creditors.
However, a group of investors seemingly swung into action upon the liquidation announcement with a plan to save Mt Gox. I say seemingly because in reality the investor group has been working on a plan to acquire Mt Gox for some time now, including before the original Mt Gox insolvency filing.
What follows is, first, a summary of what we know about the investor acquisition plan, and second, an assessment of the investor acquisition and why the deal may make sense.
Who?
Sunlot Holdings, Ltd. is a Cypriot special purpose vehicle that is being utilized for the proposed acquisition. The known investors involved in Sunlot are: Brock Pierce, child actor turned entrepreneur; William Quigley, venture investor and co-founder of Clearstone Venture Partners; Matthew Roszak, venture investor and fund manager, partner at Silk Road Equity.
Additionally, John Betts, who managed electronic trading platforms for UBS and Goldman Sachs, has been mentioned as being an investor, but in purportedly leaked Sunlot court documents (a reorganization plan dated March 28, 2014, supposedly filed with the Japanese court (the March 28 Reorganization Plan)) there is no mention of Betts holding an interest in Sunlot. However, Betts will be the “New Mt Gox” CEO if Sunlot ultimately acquires Mt Gox.
What?
To date, the only mention of exactly what Sunlot is buying has been characterized rather vaguely. As far as distressed acquisitions go, the norm is that a buyer purchases the assets. The reason for this is that in an asset based deal a buyer can “cherry-pick” the assets it wants and leave the assets it doesn’t want. Further, a buyer can also leave the liabilities that it doesn’t want, which in a distressed situation is usually most of the liabilities.
However, occasionally an acquisition is done by a purchase of the shares of the target company. According to the March 28 Plan, Sunlot’s acquisition plan centers on a transfer of Tibanne KK, a Japanese corporation that owns 88 percent of Mt Gox. KK, which is the subsidiary, actually operated the exchange.
Through this majority ownership, Sunlot will own and control Mt Gox, including all of its assets and liabilities. It would not be surprising if Sunlot is working on purchasing the remaining 12 percent ownership of Mt Gox KK from Jed McCaleb, the original founder of Mt Gox.
How much?
What will Sunlot be paying for the Mt Gox acquisition? One Bitcoin. Literally. It’s actually not really fair to leave it at just that, so some context is provided later on in the article.
Customers/Creditors?
This has become a very critical piece of the Sunlot acquisition plan. Basically, the offer to all Mt Gox customers is expected to be what is embodied in the proposed settlement agreement (Settlement Agreement) that has been reached and preliminarily approved in the Illinois class action.
That Settlement Agreement is subject to Sunlot’s reorganization plan being approved by the Japanese court, a plan which should be somewhat different from the March 28 Reorganization Plan, due to the fact that some of the terms contained therein are contradictory with the settlement agreement. Essentially, the Settlement Agreement provides as follows:
- Sunlot would immediately distribute Mt Gox assets (Initial Distribution) – all bitcoin and fiat currency currently held by Mt Gox, which appears to be largely comprised of the 200,000 recently discovered bitcoins held by Mt Gox – on a proportional basis determined by an independent audit to the 127,000 affected customers. Customers also would be treated as if they hold a 16.5 percent interest in New Mt. Gox, allowing them to share in company dividends, as well as benefit from any future buyout or IPO in the same proportional amount.
- An Administration and Prosecution Fund would manage customer interests and the recovery of the approximately $275 million of stolen customer assets. The Administration and Prosecution Fund will be capitalized by $10 million in Mt Gox assets held in trust by Nobuaki Kobayashi, the administrator/trustee appointed by the Japanese court, who will serve as the administrator for the Administration and Prosecution Fund. This seed money would fund administration and further recovery efforts. An incentive carve-out of 10 percent of recovered assets would be paid to Sunlot for their involvement in recovery of assets. Finally, Sunlot, after the acquisition, will use commercially reasonable best efforts to investigate and prosecute civil actions against any person or entity determined to be in any way involved in the loss or theft of Mt Gox bitcoins and fiat currency, and to return pro rata to the affected Mt Gox exchange members any bitcoins or fiat currency recovered through such investigation and prosecution.
On May 9, 2014, the Illinois Court granted preliminary approval of the settlement, pending a final hearing to take place after (and if) the Sunlot reorganization plan is approved by the Japanese court.
Importantly, it should be noted that contrary to what has been reported in the media, customers will not automatically receive an actual interest in New Mt Gox, but rather will be treated “as if they hold … a stake in New Mt Gox” and will receive their proportional, potential upside accordingly, but they will not automatically be equity holders of New Mt Gox.
The Deal: Assessment
The sum and substance of the Sunlot proposal(s) reflects an extremely well thought out, flexible acquisition plan involving a lot of time and expense (these things are not cheap). Clear evidence of this has been Sunlot’s ability to pivot and change direction very quickly and adeptly depending on the changing dynamics of the Mt Gox situation.
The original Sunlot intention of purchasing Mt Gox through a deal with Mark Karpeles would have obviously been smoother, less hassle and cheaper for Sunlot. The Mt Gox bankruptcy filing clearly disrupted this original plan, however, there have been several things that are now working in Sunlot’s favor.
First, the downward spiral of Mt Gox and its bankruptcy filing created a global forum in the media for all things Mt Gox. Sunlot has been able to exploit that forum in order to garner support for their acquisition through savvy public relations and use of digital media. Every move Sunlot has made has been widely reported in the media, which is not entirely unintentional. This is a classic, tried and true distressed buyer strategy.
Second, the existence of the United States class action has really been a boon for the Sunlot acquisition plan because it gave Sunlot, in effect, efficient and less costly access to approximately 50,000 of the 127,000 Mt Gox customers and a mechanism to garner support from those 50,000 customers.
Furthermore, due to the fact that Sunlot has preliminary United States court approval of the settlement in the class action, Sunlot has vastly increased its leverage in seeking approval of the reorganization plan in the Japanese court (and possibly in the United States bankruptcy court) which is necessary to ultimately complete and consummate the acquisition.
The Deal: Why?
So, the glaring question is why is Sunlot doing all of this? On the surface, it doesn’t necessarily make a lot of sense. To say there are a lot of moving parts (and costly ones at that) is an understatement. In a recent interview with Business Insider, Betts was asked whether there is some hidden value or underlying asset that no one has realized yet.
Betts kept to the Sunlot script and “stressed the group’s priority is returning funds to customers, and in restoring confidence to the broader bitcoin ecosystem.”
That sounds good and a dose of altruism and charity in the Mt Gox debacle would certainly be welcomed by the Mt Gox customers and creditors, and possibly the broader bitcoin community. However, everyone knows that people only invest considerable time and money on an opportunity that has the potential for a significant return on that investment.
Sunlot is buying an established cryptocurrency exchange platform, which was/is the largest exchange of its kind in the world. Yes, there is material brand damage. Yes, Sunlot may need to restructure the platform technology and tighten security, which will most likely require some initial capital expenditures.
The list of professionals and consultants Sunlot intends to immediately utilize shows that these capital expenditures could be significant. However, Mt Gox does currently have at least one valuable known asset: its 127,000 person customer list. For an exchange or similar intermediary, the customers are the key and are the ultimate (and sometimes sole) revenue driver of the business.
More customers means more transactions, which in turn means more fees and commissions. Yes, New Mt Gox is going to need to work to retain those customers, but using the March 28 Reorganization Plan as our guide Sunlot may already have things in the works to incentivize customers to stay with Mt Gox. For example, the March 28 Reorganization Plan contains provisions for the go-forward business to provide free and/or reduced commissions on future transactions for current customers.
Incentivization doesn’t always work to retain customers, so there are provisions in the March 28 Reorganization Plan that would have limited customers “getting out” once they receive distributions.
First, there is a “lock-up period” of one year following the Initial Distribution. Customers will immediately get their pro rata share of the 200,000 bitcoins comprising the Initial Distribution, however, the bitcoins they receive cannot be cashed out or otherwise transacted during the first year.
Second, the Sunlot reorganization plan contains prohibitions on customers cashing out their quarterly distributions from a commission trust account to be established (to continue to make customers whole after the Initial Distribution) until one year has lapsed after receipt of such distributions. In other words, if a customer receives a distribution from this trust account, that customer cannot immediately withdraw the distribution in cash. So under the March 28 Reorganization Plan there would be no early exit for Mt Gox customers.
That is, unless a customer wanted to sell New Mt Gox his/her claims. In that case, the March 28 Reorganization Plan provides pre-determined customer claims buyout discounts ranging from 50 percent to 80 percent of the claim value. Under the March 28 Reorganization Plan, if you want to cash out in the first year following consummation of the deal, you have to sell New Mt Gox your claim at 50 percent of the claim value.
Again, some or all of these provisions could change in a revised reorganization plan that Sunlot will submit to the Japanese Court in order to comport the plan with the Settlement Agreement (importantly, inclusion of things such as allowing immediate access to customer funds on account).
However, I think it proves the point as to the importance of the customer as the key asset to Sunlot/New Mt Gox and its need to retain the current customers for as long as possible for the success of the business and the success of Sunlot’s investment. That’s really the heart of the deal and the attraction.
So, the “hidden value” in Mt Gox or “unrealized asset” may not be so hidden or unrealized at all. Sunlot clearly perceived this early and is willing to take the risk involved, both of which are critical to a successful distressed acquisition.
When viewed in these terms, the Sunlot acquisition may actually make a lot of sense.
Pariah
Not.
MtGox minus Mark Karpeles (good) is entirely different from MtGox with Mark Karpeles (bad). To flush MtGox and its 127,000 customers (formerly known as members of the Bitcoin community) would be like throwing out 127,000 babies with one basin of bath water.
A customer list with tens of thousands of disappointed customers isn’t worth anything. These depositors won’t be any less fed-up after having to wait while their funds are locked up for an entire year.
This deal only makes sense for Sunlot if they know for sure that the missing 650K bitcoins and $27 million in bank deposits are very likely to be restored. Otherwise they would never want to be encumbered with the liabilities of a bankrupt company.
I like apricots. Too bad your thinking is more like a bag of moldy lemons.
Sure, the customers are disappointed now, and that’s putting it nicely. But, if this deal goes through, they’ll be popping the corks. I’m one of them. As it is, we’re staring a near total wipeout squarely in the eyes, or perhaps we’ll realize a pittance a year or so out. Many, I dare say most of us, won’t mind the delay much (if at all), as we were invested in BTC for outsized appreciation down the road.
You have bought into this whole myth of Mt. Gox having been raided by hackers exploiting a transaction malleability bug in their software. That is only one of several theories about what happened, and even were it true, can’t account for the missing $27 million in bank deposits. The two leading possibilities for the disappearance of bitcoins and cash are theft by an insider and government seizure and gag order. The hacker line is a “dog ate my homework” excuse or cover story.
Don’t know what is leading you to believe that he’s buying into the hack-planation. It doesn’t matter how the coins are gone; we don’t have our bitcoin regardless, and this may be the best chance at recovery and/or answers as to what really happened.
The Sunlot deal is being pitched, and hyped, as an exigency and fait accompli. There are always many options in any situation should you merely seek them out. Are you sure this is the “best chance” or merely the only one that you are aware of? No one has ever said the coins were really “gone”– only disappeared.
I’m not sure of anything beyond the fact that I had bitcoin on Gox, and now I don’t. I have not heard any alternative that sounds like a more viable shot at recouping anything. My understanding is that liquidation will happen if the Sunlot petition fails. That isn’t a certainty of course, but I know of no other significant possibilities. In the event of liquidation, bitcoin holders’ fate is uncertain, but it is almost certain that 20% is about the most that could be hoped for in that event. If you are hoping for a different alternative, please do share.
I can’t share something that is not yet in evidence. However, it is not in Japan’s national interest to leave the Mt. Gox investors facing liquidation in a Tokyo bankruptcy court. Prime Minister Abe’s administration is all about enhancing Japan’s attractiveness as an investment destination, and the Mt. Gox affair gave them a huge black eye. Expect a plan to turn this public perception around, and to reassure international investors that their deposits and investments in Japan are among the most secure in the world.
I think you’re probably right to say that 20% recovery in the event of liquidation is the top end outcome, but it may very well be considerably less, and a year or so out at that. And, my understanding is the same as yours, i.e., that there are no viable alternatives to the Sunlot deal, let alone any that would offer hope of eventual full recovery.
As it sits, we’re reduced to wishing and hoping the deal on the table gets approved, and although I read that some blowhard somewhere had referred to approval as a fait accompli, I don’t know of anyone credible trying to handicap the outcome.
By the way, while we’re hoping, there’s one possibility that hasn’t been talked about much, but isn’t entirely unrealistic. If Mark Karpeles can be made to feel sufficient heat, he may miraculously find a few hundred thousand more coins, perhaps fairly soon, assuming he hasn’t already sold them.
Anyway, best of luck!
Obviously, you either didn’t read my response to ‘MtGox? Really?’, or you didn’t comprehend it. And, you’ve also completely missed the point of my response to your misguided comment relating to the value of the MtGox client base. Or, is conveniently changing the subject the way you usually admit you’re wrong?
You probably shouldn’t pop any of those corks just yet. 😉
I had bit coins on mt Gox, does this mean I will get my coins back,if not is there anyway I can get it back, please help
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