Bitcoin Price Analysis for 12/01/2017 – Short-Term Downtrend

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Bitcoin Price Key Highlights

• Bitcoin price is starting to trend lower as more traders book profits off the recent rallies.
• Price is trading inside a descending channel on the 1-hour time frame and is testing resistance.
• If it continues to hold, the selloff could resume back to the channel support around $8400.

Bitcoin price is slowly trending lower on profit-taking off the recent moves and a return in dollar demand.

Technical Indicators Signals

The 100 SMA is still above the longer-term 200 SMA on this time frame so the path of least resistance is to the upside. This means that there’s still a chance for bitcoin price to break past the resistance and resume the longer-term climb. However, the 100 SMA is also holding as dynamic resistance for the time being.

Stochastic is also moving south to show that sellers are in control of price action. RSI is treading sideways to signal potential consolidation from here.

Market Factors

The dollar has slowly been regaining ground to its counterparts as Senate moves forward with its vote on the tax bill. After passing the Senate Budget Committee and seeing a positive revision in the JCT estimates, the bill also drew support from Senator John McCain, which was seen as the main catalyst for the recent dollar rally.

Further progress in this regard could take bitcoin price lower to the dollar as traders reestablish their long USD positions. Apart from that, data from the US economy has been mostly upbeat and reflective of some progress in higher inflation.

However, there’s also the chance that geopolitical risk could pick up as Trump is looking to replace Secretary of State Tillerson to pursue less diplomatic tactics with North Korea.

This usually props up cryptocurrencies like bitcoin as traders continue to seek higher returns but in alternative markets outside of stocks and commodities, also drawing risk-off flows away from the dollar and the yen.