Analysis Technical

Bitcoin Price Watch: Can BTC/USD Hold $6,400?

Aayush Jindal | July 4, 2018 | 8:28 am
technical analysis bitcoin
Analysis

Bitcoin Price Watch: Can BTC/USD Hold $6,400?

Aayush Jindal | July 4, 2018 | 8:28 am

Key Points

  • Bitcoin price started a downside correction after trading as high as $6,680 against the US Dollar.
  • There is a new contracting triangle forming with support near $6,410 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must stay above the $6,400-10 support area to avoid further downsides in the near term.

Bitcoin price is currently correcting lower against the US Dollar. BTC/USD should stay above the $6,400 support to resume its upward move towards $6,800.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Yesterday, bitcoin price traded towards the $6,700 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair traded as high as $6,680 before sellers took a stand. As a result, a downside correction was initiated and the price declined below the $6,600 level. During the decline, the price broke the $6,550 and $6,500 support levels. Moreover, it cleared the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $6,260 swing low to $6,680 high.

However, the downside move was protected by the $6,400 support, which was a resistance earlier. More importantly, the 100 hourly simple moving (currently at $6,440) also acted as a support. The price tested the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $6,260 swing low to $6,680 high. At the moment, the price is consolidating losses above the $6,400 support. It seems like there is a new contracting triangle forming with support near $6,410 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. A bearish break below the $6,400 support and the 100 hourly SMA could be a bearish sign in the short term.

Bitcoin Price Analysis BTC USD

Looking at the chart, the price is likely to hold the $6,400 support. However, it has to break the triangle resistance at $6,600 to gain traction. If bitcoin buyers fail to gain momentum, there is a risk of a break below $6,400.

Looking at the technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly moving in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is now well below the 40 level.

Major Support Level – $6,400

Major Resistance Level – $6,600

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