Analysis Technical

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Watch: Case For Larger Rally Above 100 SMA

Aayush Jindal | March 13, 2019 | 6:30 am
technical analysis bitcoin
Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Watch: Case For Larger Rally Above 100 SMA

Aayush Jindal | March 13, 2019 | 6:30 am
  • Bitcoin price stayed above the $3,800 support area and recovered recently against the US Dollar.
  • The price is trading above the $3,840 level and facing a strong resistance near the 100 hourly SMA.
  • There is a key bearish trend line in place with resistance at $3,865 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could rally sharply if there is a close above $3,880 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Bitcoin price rebounded nicely from the $3,800 support against the US Dollar. BTC is currently sighting an upside break above the $3,880 resistance and the 100 hourly SMA.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Yesterday, we saw a downside reaction below the $3,860 support in bitcoin price against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair tested the key $3,800 support level and later started an upside correction. A swing low was formed at $3,801 and the price corrected above the $3,840 level. Buyers were successful in pushing the price above the $3,850 resistance as well. Besides, there was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $3,910 swing high to $3,800 swing low.

However, the recovery faced a strong resistance near the $3,880 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. More importantly, there is a key bearish trend line in place with resistance at $3,865 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair also struggled to clear the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $3,910 swing high to $3,800 swing low. At the moment, the price is consolidating just below the trend line, $3,870, and the 100 hourly SMA.

A successful break above the trend line and $3,880 could really boost the market sentiment. In the mentioned case, the price could climb above the $3,900 and $3,920 resistance levels. The next stop could be $3,960 or even $4,000. On the flip side, if there is a downside correction, the price may find buyers near the $3,840 level. The main support is near the $3,820 and $3,800 levels. If there is a downside break below $3,800, the price could move into a bearish zone in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Analysis BTC Chart

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price seems to be preparing for a larger upside break above $3,880. Having said that, it won’t be easy for buyers to gain traction above $3,880 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is placed is about to move into the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently above the 50 level, with a bullish angle.

Major Support Levels – $3,840 followed by $3,800.

Major Resistance Levels – $3,865, $3,880 and $3,900.

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