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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Outlook Post Fed's 0.25% Rate Cut: Historical Patterns And Predictions

Only 3 Months Exist Where Buying Bitcoin Resulted in Losses

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 1:43 pm
3 mins read

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Bitcoin was created in the wake of the global financial crisis and great recession, by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto, seeking to empower humanity with control over their own money – something that fiat currencies cannot provide due to their centralized control by governments.

In the 125 months that Bitcoin has been around, buying the first ever crypto asset at any point during those 125 months – except for three specific months – would have resulted in a the investment being a profitable one. And since its inception, it’s brought investors over 194 million percent returns, and has been among the best performing assets ever created.

Out of 125 Months, 122 Of Them Brought Crypto Investors Profits

There’s no denying Bitcoin’s ability to bring investors incredible returns and wealth. Those who invested in the emerging technology have been rewarded handsomely for their forward-thinking.

In the 125 months that Bitcoin has existed, buying and holding Bitcoin in only three of those 125 months would have resulted in losses. Outside of those three months, buying Bitcoin at any time during 122 of those 125 months would have generated profits for the holder of the digital asset.

Bitcoin is 125 months old..

If you bought $BTC in 122 of those months & then held you’re in the profit.

— Birch (@BitcoinBirch) May 30, 2019

During the 2017 bull run, FOMO caused those late to the game to rush into buying the misunderstood and unknown asset. When the bubble eventually popped, the longest bear market on record ensued, and it caused the majority of the investing public to forget about the riches Bitcoin once provided, and only focused on the suffering new crypto investors were experiencing as the price of these assets fell as much as 80% to 99% in some altcoins.

The three months investors were mistaken in investing in Bitcoin, was in December 2017, at the height of the hype and peak of Bitcoin’s meteoric rise; in January as Bitcoin first crashed and attempted to rebound; and in February when Bitcoin crashed below $6,000 only to rocket back up over $10,000 once again. The V-shaped selloff caused investors to panic sell.

Related Reading | Next Bitcoin Bull Run Will Be First Cycle Supported By Established Financial Firms

Buying just about any time following those three months would result in profits for investors, as Bitcoin has once again poked its head above $9,000. Current price levels are already higher than some of the bullish peaks during the bear market.

But as Bitcoin approaches $10,000 – which many say will be an important FOMO trigger – making up for those three months is not far away.

Yearly Bitcoin Price Chart: Only Two Red Candles in 8 Years

Another perspective on Bitcoin’s long-term performance shows that the cryptocurrency has only had two red candles in the eight years depicted on the yearly chart.

The green candles have amounted to gains of over 194 million percent, and Bitcoin is still relatively new as a technology and has so much potential.

194.409.702% in 8 years..
only 2 red yearly candles..
show me sth better than #Bitcoin.. 🚀 pic.twitter.com/qVdhVc69MB

— pepa🌙 (@moonshilla) May 27, 2019

The two larger bear markets are easily spotted in the yearly chart, represented by the only two red candles on the chart. But as can be seen, Bitcoin in just two years reached above the first red candle, and the second red candle is already close to be fully engulfed by the following green candle in 2019, and will very likely achieve such a feat.

If Bitcoin grows once again like it did following the first bear market, those three months of negative will turn into positive in short order, and it will be the only asset in existence that if bought during any prior month in its existence, it would have led to profits.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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