Perceived Bitcoin Value Outpaced Peak Crypto Bubble Mania

Tony "The Bull" Severino

5 years ago

3 mins read

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It’s been an interesting and confusing year for Bitcoin price, with the crypto asset bottoming out in $3,100 at levels of extreme fear and panic, then in just a few months growing 350% and once again causing talk of moonshots and Lambos across the market.

In fact, during the most recent “echo bubble” as it’s being called, the perceived value of Bitcoin exceeded that of the peak 2017 crypto bubble mania. However, price fell short of setting new high alongside the lofty price perception, and one analyst says that data point looks “bad” for Bitcoin, and says that prices of $2020 in the year 2020 aren’t that “crazy.”

Bitcoin Perceived Price Value Reaches Crypto Bubble Levels

After a stellar year for Bitcoin, bringing investors who bought the bottom over 350% in gains from trough to peak, the crypto market has once again turned bearish. Following the top of the 2019 parabolic rally back in June, the market has slowly returned to a state of fear, panic, and despair.

But it was only a short time ago, that Bitcoin was trading above $10,000 and talk of riches and $1 million dollar BTC became commonplace once again. It was as if crypto investors suddenly forgot about a full year of bear market, and all of the pain it caused.

The irrational exuberance can be seen via the sentix Strategic Bias index, which assigns a score measuring the perceived price value of Bitcoin. The metric outpaces the hype and bias surrounding the peak of the 2017 crypto bubble, however, price failed to set a new high as well.

https://twitter.com/icoexplorer/status/1200230971758587904?s=21

The analyst who first called attention to this “bad” looking metric says that for “perception of value to exceed the previous levels and price fall short” it says “that selling pressure was so high,” and claims that that “hopium addict” crypto investors “provided liquidity” for boomers to unload their bags at a lot higher prices.

Because price perception so greatly outpaced the actual price in 2019, the analyst says that seeing prices of $2020 per BTC in the new year wouldn’t be “crazy.”

Calls For New Lows At Recent Top Would Be Called “Crazy,” Not So “Crazy” Anymore

Given how exuberant crypto investors were at Bitcoin’s recent peak, any talk of prices of $2,000 Bitcoin would have been met with much confrontation, calling such claims “crazy,” especially considering how quickly the first-ever crypto-asset ran up from the then bottom at $3,100.

Now, that fear has returned to the market, and Bitcoin is trading at prices back around the $6,000 range it has already once broken down from, thinking that the bottom isn’t in and Bitcoin could reach prices around $2020 in 2020, doesn’t sound so crazy anymore.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.