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Breaking News: Zcash Foundation Investigation Closed: SEC Decision Sparks 12% Jump In ZEC Price

Why This Investor Thinks There’s No Way the Bitcoin Halving Is Priced In

Nick Chong
Nick Chong
Last Updated: June 11, 2024 1:35 pm
2 mins read

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In less than six months’ time, Bitcoin will see an extremely important event. Known as a “halving” or “halvening,” the number of coins issued per block to miners will get cut in half from 12.5 to 6.25, effectively meaning that BTC’s inflation rate will be cut in half in layman’s terms.

Related Reading: XRP Could Soon Fall Against Bitcoin, Analyst Warns as Pressure Builds

The halving mechanism, should it be kept in the code in the decades to come, will ensure that there will only be 21 million Bitcoin in existence. Ever. This ties into Satoshi Nakamoto’s seeming obsession with creating a scarce, hard form of money that is unlike fiat money, which can be printed without limits.

While some are skeptical of the event’s effects on the BTC market, a leading investor in the cryptocurrency industry asserted that there is no way that the halving is priced in.

Bitcoin Halving to be Decidiely Positive

The investor, Alistair Milne of Altana Digital Currency Fund. Milne recently noted that after the halving comes into effect in 2020, 50% of all newly mined Bitcoin will be absorbed by the purchases of clients of two companies: Grayscale through its Bitcoin Trust and Square through its BTC buying service. This ignores the inflows from Coinbase customers, people buying cryptocurrency through RobinHood and eToro, and so on and so forth.

In other words, should demand persist or grow, the halving will only boost the supply-demand economics model for BTC, pushing prices higher with ample time.

After halving, ~50% of all newly mined Bitcoin will be absorbed by just two companies: GBTC and Square

This ignores the 30million Coinbase customers, people investing via RobinHood, eToro, etc. etc

… but tell me again how halving is priced in.

— Alistair Milne (@alistairmilne) December 21, 2019

As aforementioned, though, not everyone agrees with Milne’s optimistic sentiment.

Jason Williams, co-founder at digital asset fund Morgan Creek Digital, for instance, said at the turn of the month that one of his unpopular opinions is that “Bitcoin halving in May 2020 won’t do anything to the price. It will be a non-event.” This assertion comes in the wake of a strong downturn in the cryptocurrency markets, which has thrown cold water on a lot of the bullish sentiment and narratives being pushed earlier this year.

Related Reading: Crypto Tidbits: Bitcoin Returns to $7,200, Ripple Bags $200M Cheque, Tron CEO Donates to Greta Thunberg

Regardless, Crypto’s Trajectory Positive

Regardless of the exact details around whether or not the halving is priced in, analysts still assert that the industry’s directionality is decidedly positive.

Andy Bromberg argued in a recent Bloomberg segment that “we are seeing a level of building that has happened in 2019 [which makes it feel like] we’re in the moment of everyone is putting on their jumpsuits, ready to take off,” referencing the fundamental developments that Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other blockchains (and the firms backing them) have seen this year. Bromberg added that this level of building hasn’t been seen since 2017, boding well for prices in the future.

Related Reading: Lightning Works: Bitcoin Podcaster Finds Restaurant Shunning Banks for BTC
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Nick Chong
Nick Chong

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

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