Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has settled in and around the key $7,000 support level. Although some say that this price action is eerily reminiscent of that seen prior to 2018’s capitulation event, during which the price of the leading cryptocurrency tanked from $6,000 to $3,000 after consolidating for months on end, analysts say that the price of Bitcoin is readying for a strong bounce in the upward direction.
Bitcoin Ready to Bounce Big Time?
In a tweet that went crypto-viral, trader DonAlt noted that he thinks “we’re gonna bounce big time in the next 3-6 months,” drawing attention to the Bitcoin chart seen below. In it, he shows that BTC is consolidating above the key macro support in the low-$6,000s, which is where Bitcoin needed to hold in 2018 to see any chance of a reversal out of the previous bear market.
He added in a reply to his original tweet that he’s “serious” in the assertion that the cryptocurrency market could soon jump. And other analysts agree.
I'm pretty sure we're gonna bounce big time in the next 3-6 months. pic.twitter.com/gfwhjLyJR1
— DonAlt (@CryptoDonAlt) January 1, 2020
While there is little on the chart, the trader drew attention to two previous bouts of price action in BTC’s history, during which the price rallied by 32% and 40%, respectively, after a bullish divergence was formed between his indicator and the price.
The same divergence is forming yet again, implying that BTC could soon rally by up to 40%, which would mean the price of the asset would take $10,000.
— Cold Blooded Shiller (@ColdBloodShill) December 31, 2019
That’s not to mention that a prominent analyst — one who called in October called the scam pump to the $10,000s and the latest decline to the $6,000s — said that he believes BTC is likely to rally 40% in the coming months.
Do Bears Have Any Control?
Although analysts across the board are leaning more bullish than bearish, there is some evidence to suggest that bears may still be in control of the cryptocurrency market’s directionality.
Former Wall Street trader turned Bitcoin analyst Tone Vays said in a recent interview with BlockTV, an industry media outlet, that he still expects for Bitcoin to see “the next low to come in [during] the first quarter of 2020.” As to where this low in the cryptocurrency market will come in, the long-time cryptocurrency trader looked to the $5,000s, claiming that there’s a high probability Bitcoin will enter that range to put in a fresh low.
#WEEKINREVIEW: "I think we could have a little bit of a rally into the close, but I'm not really expecting anything above $8,000 any time soon. I'm looking for the next low to come in in the first quarter of 2020." – @ToneVays.
— BLOCKTV (@BLOCKTVnews) December 27, 2019
This comes after November’s monthly candle close resulted in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) — which is a “trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price” — crossing bearish for the first time since May of 2018, which was prior to Bitcoin’s extended bearish move from the $10,000s to the $3,000.
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