Since the start of this year, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen its price explode higher; year to date, the leading cryptocurrency has posted a gain of nearly 30%, surging from the $7,000s to the $9,250 in a few weeks’ time.
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This seemingly marks a decisive end to the 50% downtrend that plagued Bitcoin throughout the second half of 2019, for positive technical signals have been flashing over the past few days, implying further reversal some say.
Bitcoin Begins to Print Key Reversal Signs
Cryptocurrency trader Brent or Blockchainblitz recently noted that Bitcoin’s daily chart just registered a key technical signal: the 50-day moving average just today crossed above the 100-day moving average, creating a bull cross formation.
He notes that in the past eight times this technical signal was seen since 2014, a “rip upward followed.”
Indeed, NewsBTC’s own analysis of this specific moving average cross found that this last took place when BTC was at $5,800 in early-2019, and preceded a 140% move higher. There are also the other historical instances Brent pointed to in his chart.
— Brent (@blockchainblitz) February 5, 2020
That’s far from the only technical signal to have recently suggested Bitcoin’s rally is just starting.
- BTC recently took the monthly price support of the key 21-month exponential moving average, then closed above the 10-month exponential moving average.
- Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently moved above the key 55 range, which has historically been an inflection point for the market; when the RSI is above 55, BTC is technically in a bull market.
- The leading cryptocurrency has moved above the 200-day moving average. Yadox said that this is a sign of a bull market, and Fundstrat’s Tom Lee agrees.
Not to mention, some of the most prominent traders (in that they have been historically accurate) have touted bullish sentiment over recent weeks.
Case in point: SmartContracter — who famously called the $3,200 Bitcoin bottom for 2018 literal months before it took place — said that there is a high likelihood of Bitcoin breaking $14,000 by the middle of 2020, likely around or just after the time of the block reward reduction in May 2020.
Not Everyone is Convinced
While there are these signs, not everyone is convinced that Bitcoin will continue higher from here.
Per previous reports from NewsBTC, Bitfinex’s top publicly-known trader, J0e007, recently said that market trends are formed by “supply/demand imbalances and backed by fiat in/out-flows.”
J0e007 continued in a later tweet that “I’ll believe it when I see the fiat inflows,” suggesting that he isn’t seeing the market data to back Bitcoin’s 50% rally from the $6,400 bottom in the past 50-odd days.
He affirmed this sentiment further down in the same Twitter thread, noting that the Tether’s flatlining market capitalization is “hard to explain from a position that we’re in the middle of a new bull market” and that Grayscale’s inflow data doesn’t convince him there is enough demand to absorb the mined supply.
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