Since Bitcoin traders got a taste of parabolic price action in early-2019, during which BTC surged from the low-$3,000s to $14,000 in a few weeks’ time, they have been craving more and more and more.
The cryptocurrency’s ability to surge by hundreds of percent (and drop dozens of percent) in a few months’ time — gains absolutely astronomical when compared to that of stocks, precious metals, and other traditional asset classes — was something many fell in love with.
Fortunately for these investors, a prominent analyst recently suggested that should this key indicator prove to be accurate yet again, Bitcoin is on the verge of starting yet another parabolic rally.
While the jury is still out on where exactly the next bull run will take BTC, the consensus is a fresh all-time high of at least $50,000, proven by a crazy accurate price model made by an institutional quantitative analyst and shilled by a bonafide German bank.
2020 Going to Be Base for Bitcoin’s “Next Parabolic Run”
According to prominent trader Bitcoin Jack, former head analyst at trading group Bravado, Bitcoin is showing signs that 2020 will “cement the foundation for the next parabolic run.”
As to why this is the case, the analyst looked to BTC’s one-week Ichimoku Cloud, which should show what long-term trends are forming and what key price points there are to watch out for.
The start of the two previous macro bull trends in 2012 and 2016 saw the indicator print a “thin red cloud,” which some would classically define as bearish but turned out to be extremely bullish for Bitcoin.
In fact, in 2012, BTC immediately began to rally higher once the thin red cloud was reached, and Bitcoin rallied by nearly 100% in the five weeks after the thin red cloud was reached in 2016.
Historically you really wanted to be long by the time the weekly Ichimoku showed a thin red cloud and price reached that moment in time
Image 1 = Oct '12 & May '16 thin red clouds visualized
Image 2 = 2020
This year will cement the foundation for the next parabolic run pic.twitter.com/dJ8n0pBeiK
— //Bitcoin 𝕵ack (@BTC_JackSparrow) February 21, 2020
History rhyming will see Bitcoin begin to explode higher around July, which is when the price is forecasted to interact with the thin red cloud that Jack was alluding to in his tweet.
This isn’t the only sign Bitcoin is on the verge of yet another parabolic rally like the many it has been through in the past.
Per previous reports from NewsBTC, analyst Cryptokea remarked that search interest for the term “Buy Bitcoin” recently hit a seven-month high — the highest since June 2019.
More specifically, the metric has hit a “10” on a long-term basis, with the metric’s maximum being 100. This may not seem relevant, but the analyst remarked that the last time search interest burst through the “10” level, a parabolic surge followed that took BTC to $20,000.
Where Could BTC End Up?
As aforementioned, a more conservative target for Bitcoin’s next all-time high, enabled by a parabolic rally, has been deemed to be somewhere between $50,000 and $100,000 by many analysts.
PlanB (100TrillionUSD), a pseudonymous quantitative analyst, revealed a revolutionary Bitcoin price model proving such price points as entirely feasible for BTC to reach in the coming years.
The model, dubbed the stock-to-flow model, equated Bitcoin’s scarcity, derived from the above-ground supply divided by the rolling issuance of the coin, to the asset’s market cap. It determined, to a 95% R squared, that after the BTC block reward reduction in May 2020, a coin will have a fair value of anywhere between $55,000 to $100,000.
The model appears to model the bubbles ánd bear markets fairly well. It confirms a certain inertia of price reaction, so a lag ánd overshoot. Model would predict: Price will catch up with S2F ratio a year after the halving. And overshoot by ~ 2x. (3/3) h/t Tom! pic.twitter.com/kWecmWgH5e
— GeertJancap (@Geertjancap) January 15, 2020
GeertJancap, a Twitter user interested in disruptive technologies, noted that per his transfer function model of Bitcoin’s price, BTC’s price will catch up to PlanB’s lofty model a year after the halving in the middle of 2021.
Some have been even more optimistic, saying that $50,000 may only be the start of an even greater move. Though, many of these predictions (if you can call them that) are just based on speculation that the upcoming market cycle will have a similar magnitude of growth of the last; for instance, Bitcoin rallying as far as it did from the top of the 2015-2016 cycle to the top of the last cycle (2,000%) implies an all-time high of around $400,000.
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