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Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin’s January Rally Thinks 700% Surge Is Possible: Here’s Why

Nick Chong
Nick Chong
1 year ago
2 mins read

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Bitcoin has been fairly unpredictable over the past few months.

In December, when the cryptocurrency fell under $7,000, a majority of analysts were expecting a retracement to the $5,000s, citing the existence of the ever-important 200-week moving average. And at the top near $10,000 established in mid-February, half of Crypto Twitter was convinced BTC was set to retake $14,000, then surge to fresh highs.

True to the nature of the age-old Warren Buffet quote, “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful,” BTC did the exact opposite of what the majority expected, rallying out of the December lows and crashing from the February highs.

Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin’s Crash to $3,000 Says This Comes Next

One fund manager, however, went against the grain. Su Zhu, CEO/CIO of Three Arrows Capital, remarked that BTC would likely end January around $9,000, 25% higher than the market price when he made that comment. He was right.

Now, he’s back, arguing that there’s a good likelihood Bitcoin hits $50,000 “relatively quickly.” Here’s why he thinks so.

Bitcoin Could Hit $50,000? What?

In a recent tweet, Su Zhu remarked that Bitcoin could rally to $50,000 “relatively quickly,” which would mark a 730% gain from the current price of $6,000.

As to why he thinks such explosive growth can take place in such a short amount of time, Su looked to the fact that several emerging markets are “now pricing in significant risk of sovereign defaults.” Su Zhu added that with the U.S. dollar set on a course for inflation “it will be hard to turn back from,” which has been corroborated by trends in the bond market, BTC could shine.

https://twitter.com/zhusu/status/1240193548454002688

This isn’t the only evidence suggesting Bitcoin will rally extremely high and extremely fast.

In March of 2019, PlanB — a pseudonymous institutional investor based in Europe that analyzes Bitcoin as a personal passion — released a famous article on Medium titled “Modeling Bitcoin’s Value with Scarcity.”

The article contained the below image, which shows that Bitcoin’s market capitalization over time can be plotted on a logarithmic regression, which has an R squared of 95%, or extremely accurate in non-statistics lingo terms.

bitcoin scarcity

The model predicts that BTC will have a fair value of $55,000 to $100,000 — ten to twenty times the current value — after the halving due to the emission shock.

Featured Image from Shutterstock
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Nick Chong
Nick Chong

Nick Chong

I am a writer who has been following Bitcoin for years now. My insights and interviews have been featured in leading publications in the industry such as LongHash and Decrypt. I own a small amount of Bitcoin.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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