Bitcoin Dominance: 2-Year Uptrend Breaking Could Spark Altcoin Boom

Tony "The Bull" Severino

5 years ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin dominance has not only broken down from a two-year-long uptrend, but it has also retested the trend line as resistance and failed to reclaim the key level.

With trend line support now confirmed as resistance, its likely that Bitcoin dominance could see an extended downtrend in the days, weeks, and months ahead. But what does this mean for altcoins and the rest of the cryptocurrency market?

Bitcoin Dominates Cryptocurrency Market With Over 65% Share Currently

Bitcoin dominance is a metric that weighs Bitcoin’s market cap against the rest of the cryptocurrency landscape.

As the first-ever cryptocurrency, Bitcoin enjoys a first-mover advantage, brand power, and the most institutional interest and financial world support compared to the rest of the crypto market.

This has helped Bitcoin’s market cap grow massively in relation to the rest of the thousands of altcoins making up the industry.

Prior to 2017, Bitcoin dominance had never fallen below 94%. It was that year and the hype bubble that sent BTC dominance is a brutal downtrend, falling to as low as 35% dominance.

But as the bubble popped, and the irrational speculative valuations of these untested altcoins fell by 99% or more in most cases. Even the strongest altcoins like Ethereum or Ripple fell by over 90%

It resulted in an uptrend forming in both Bitcoin and BTC dominance, bringing the metric to a peak of 73% during the last two years.

The uptrend support line, however, was finally breached in February 2020 during the massive altcoin market breakout, supported by historic trading volume.

BTC Dominance Dropping Could Lead to Massive Altcoin Season

BTC dominance has since retested the two-year-long uptrend line and confirmed it as support turned resistance.

With a bearish retest confirmed, further downside in BTC dominance is probable. And when Bitcoin dominance drops, it is time for altcoins to shine.

When altcoins outperform Bitcoin, crypto analysts and traders refer to this as an altcoin season. However, its been since before 2018 and long before most crypto investors bought in at the top of the bubble since such an alt season has occurred.

Crypto investors and traders may not know what to expect from altcoins when dominance breaks down. The last major breakdown resulted in BTC dominance falling from 95% to just 35%.

A similar, 60% move down from the recent peak of 73% dominance, would mean Bitcoin has just 13% market share at the end of the next downtrend. A move like that would mean that altcoins have taken over the crypto market in a major way, and Bitcoin will be left at risk of falling out of its leadership position for the first time ever.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.