Bitcoin Price is Recovering But 100 SMA Could Trigger Another Sharp Drop

Aayush Jindal

1 year ago

2 mins read

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Bitcoin started a major decline after it was rejected near the $10,000 resistance against the US Dollar. BTC is currently recovering, but it is likely to face sellers near the 100 SMA (H4).

Bitcoin traded as low as $9,084 and it is currently correcting higher.
The price is likely to face sellers near the $9,600 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).
There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $9,770 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair remains at a risk of more losses as long as it is below $9,600 and $9,700.

Bitcoin Turns Red

This past week, bitcoin failed to settle above the $10,000 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC price traded as high as $9,989 and started a major decline below the $9,900 and $9,800 levels.

The bears took control and were able to push the price below the $9,500 support and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). The decline was initiated after there was a break below a key ascending channel with support near the $9,780 level on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The decline was such that the pair broke the $9,200 support and traded as low as $9,084. Bitcoin is currently correcting higher and trading above the $9,300 level.

It surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $9,989 swing high to $9,084 low. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $9,500 and $9,540 levels.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $9,989 swing high to $9,084 low is also near $9,537. The first major resistance is near the $9,600 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $9,770 on the same chart. Therefore, the price must break the 100 SMA (H4) and then the trend line to move into a positive zone.

More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $9,500 resistance zone or the 100 simple moving average (4-hours), it could resume its decline below the $9,400 level.

The first key support is seen near the $9,300 level, below which it could retest the $9,080 zone. The main support is seen near the $9,000 level, where the bulls might take a stand.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly moving in the bullish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently just above the 40 level.

Major Support Level – $9,300

Major Resistance Level – $9,600

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Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
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In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.

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