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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

About The Clouds: Bitcoin Holds Retest Of Key Weekly Level

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
1 year ago
2 mins read
bitcoin above the cloud weekly ichimoku

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Last night at 8PM eastern standard time, Bitcoin price closed its weekly candle at roughly $9,325. While the close marked yet another week of failed attempts to break above $10,000, it also marked the first retest of the Ichimoku indicator Kumo, or “cloud.”

Another retest is in progress and currently holding. If Bitcoin price can hold above the key level and close again, it could be the start of a new, continued uptrend.

Repeated Failures To Break Above $10,000, Is the Next Time The Last Time?

Bitcoin price continues to struggle with $10,000. The level has long been considered a “FOMO trigger” in which a strong reaction occurs to the up or downside.

During the 2017 crypto bubble, once Bitcoin price broke above the resistance level, it peaked at $20,000 less than a month later.

Since then, the first-ever cryptocurrency has spent nearly three years trying to get back and hold above the key level.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Abruptly Surges to $10,000: But Here’s Why a Brutal Rejection Awaits 

A mid-2019 rally made it above, even reaching $14,000, but was rejected back below and hasn’t made it back above since.

A handful of attempts have been made, but none of the tries have been able to hold strongly above $10,000. Once the cryptocurrency does make it back above the key level, it could be the last time the asset ever trades at prices below it.

bitcoin ichimoku cloud weekly level bullish
Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Price Weekly Close Holds Above Ichimoku Cloud

Bitcoin price also couldn’t hold above the Kumo or “cloud” on the Ichimoku indicator during the early 2020 rally that peaked out in February, just ahead of the Black Thursday collapse.

A couple of weekly closes came close to the top of the cloud, but selling pressure pushed prices back through it, and when it came out the other end of the cloud, the asset fell another 50% in a flash.

This time seems to be different, however. During the last rally, Bitocin price again was rejected by the top of the cloud, back into it. However, this time the bottom of the cloud held, prompting another retest at the top of the structure.

Related Reading | This Unusual Factor Could Reignite Crypto’s Notorious Volatility 

Last night’s weekly close held firmly above the cloud – currently green indicating bullish price action. Another retest of cloud support is in progress and appears to be holding thus far.

If Bitcoin price can hold above the cloud, it may not be long before investors can say goodbye to prices below $10,000 for good.

Adding more validity to the bullish signals on the indicator is a bullish crossover of the two senkou spans.

A further fall and close back into the cloud, or worse, below it, could lead to another test of lows set in mid-March.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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