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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

How Crypto Market Fear And Greed Be Used Profitably As A Trade Trigger

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
4 years ago
2 mins read

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Investing in Bitcoin is a wild and bumpy ride. Some choose to “HODL,” while others decide to trade the normally volatile crypto asset. Both are subject to extreme fluctuations in price, however, traders can turn market sentiment into a profitable trading signal.

Here’s how the cryptocurrency market fear and greed index can be used as a trade trigger, along with a clear anomaly where such a strategy proved completely ineffective.

Contrarian Trading Against Speculative Sentiment And Hype

Sentiment in the crypto market is nearly as all over the place as prices are. One day, prices are pumped and investors are calling for Lambos and Citadels, then the next day they’re expecting a catastrophic drop.

Whatever the direction is, the herd and the mainstream media are usually wrong, while institutional investors using advanced strategies profit from taking an opposing position.

Financial market sentiment can almost always be used as a contrarian indicator. But in a speculation driven industry where hype and buzz matter more than fundamentals, this is even more true.

Related Reading | How Lengthening Crypto Cycles Conflict With Halving Driven Supply Theories

Some of the wealthiest investors of all-time, including Warren Buffett and Baron Rothschild advocate taking contrarian positions. They also offer quotes that act as a reminder to do the opposite of what behaviors natural human emotion usually triggers.

“Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful,” the Oracle of Omaha’s famous quote reads.

bitcoin crypto fear and greed index

Bitcoin BTCUSD Crypto Market Fear and Greed Index | Source: TradingView

Can The Crypto Market Fear And Greed Index Be a Profitable Buy and Sell Signal?

In the crypto market, because sentiment is so critical, there exists a Fear and Greed index.

The tool itself can be used as a contrarian buy or sell signal. In the first half of the Bitcoin bear market, the index could have been a practically perfect indicator for tops and bottoms.

During Bitcoin’s parabolic rise in Q2 2019, the Fear and Greed index suddenly became worthless as an indicator. The anomaly is the only period since the asset’s bear market started where the index wasn’t especially helpful.

Related Reading | The Most Common Crypto Scams And How To Avoid Them

After some consolidation above $10,000, the asset fell back into a bear market, and shockingly once again the index began working like a charm.

When BTCUSD approached $10,000 where it fell from the earlier, the index tipped toward greed, and a sell order would have been profitable. Each time, the asset would have been a buy when fear once again peaked.

Bitcoin price is pumping once again, and so is the index into greed territory. With this lead to yet another profitable sell signal, or like the blue box and anomaly from 2019, is the crypto asset about to skyrocket again?

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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