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Next Bitcoin Leg Up Could “Overshoot” $15K, $12K Wont Hold Back Rally

Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino
1 year ago
3 mins read
bitcoin

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Bitcoin price is currently holding above important weekly support. With just three days left for the weekly close, the next few days are critical. If the cryptocurrency can break through, $12,000, which one analyst claims won’t hold much longer, the next leg up could “overshoot” most targets and touch $15,000.

But although that outcome is positive for crypto investors, the overextended move would result in a pullback followed by weeks of consolidation around $14,000 before moving up again.

Holding Weekly Support Is Bullish For Bitcoin, “Sub-$12K” Won’t Hold Much Longer

Bitcoin is currently trading at potentially its most critical level yet. While $10,000 prevented the cryptocurrency from reaching former highs and acts as a trigger for crypto FOMO, $11,500 may have even more significance.

The number dates all the way back to December 2017 just after Bitcoin topped. Five days after the peak, the cryptocurrency touched down on the support level for the first time.

Related Reading | “Upside Reversal” In Bitcoin Possible, Here’s What To Watch For

The first-ever cryptocurrency spent all of January 2018 struggling to stay above the support, but it eventually gave out. Losing $11,500 took Bitcoin down by nearly 50% ten days later to $5,800 for the V-shaped February low.

Bitcoin bounced hard, back up to $11,500 where the former support was confirmed as resistance. Bitcoin never again closed a weekly candle above the key level, until the start of this past August, following a break of $10,000.

The leading crypto asset by market cap rocketed to $12,400 at the 2020 high so far but pulled back to $11,100 where bulls are attempting to confirm the resistance to support flip of $11,500. If it holds, resistance above $12,000 won’t keep Bitcoin at bay much longer, and it could send the asset higher to overshoot most expectations.

bitcoin btcusd

BTCUSD Weekly Support and Resistance Flip Retest In Progress | Source: TradingView

BTCUSD Target Could Overshoot To $15,000 Claims Vinny Lingham

The retest of an extremely important support and resistance flip is in progress, as can be clearly seen in the chart above. If BTCUSD holds this key level, Vinny Lingham, Bitcoin investor and head of the Civic cryptocurrency project says that the crypto asset will rocket toward $15,000.

The reason for the $15,000 targe, is because that is where the last positive, green weekly close took place prior to the top being set. The next candle after the top was a bearish engulfing taking out any chance of $15,000 acting as support.

It looks to me that #Bitcoin is poised for another leg up, with an overshoot above $15k, but then a retrace and heavy consolidation around $14k for a few weeks at least. I doubt this sub-$12k price holds for much longer and $10k represents strong support right now.

— Vinny Lingham (@VinnyLingham) August 28, 2020

Instead, the number is likely Bitcoin’s last major weekly resistance level before revisiting an all-time high. After a rise from $3,800 to $15,000 in a matter of months, the cryptocurrency would need a reset.

Related Reading | This Unique Perspective Makes It Clear Bitcoin Cycles Are Lengthening

Lingham expects the cryptocurrency to then consolidate around $14,000 before the next major move up. A deeper drop is also possible, he says, but it would likely get bought up quickly back to $14,000.

As for why Lingham’s call matters at all, the crypto entrepreneur in the past called for Bitcoin to break above $3,000 in 2017. What he didn’t expect was for the crypto asset to overshoot the target by so much, reaching as high as $20,000.

Lingham this time around has adjusted his expectations and added a buffer in case Bitcoin overshoots his targets yet again. But its possible, that just like last time around, Lingham underestimates the power of the crypto’s momentum, and Bitcoin explodes to a new all-time high.

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Tony "The Bull" Severino
Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Read more

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
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Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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