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Aster (ASTER) has seen heightened volatility in recent sessions as broader market selling pressure weighs on altcoins and investor sentiment remains fragile. Yet in the midst of this downturn, the token drew unexpected attention when Changpeng Zhao (CZ) — Binance’s former CEO — posted on X that he personally bought ASTER using his own funds directly on Binance. The comment immediately sparked debate across the crypto community, with some viewing it as a confidence signal and others treating it with caution given current market conditions.
However, not all major traders share the bullish view. Shortly after CZ’s post, notable on-chain whale 0x9eec increased a bearish positioning, adding significantly to an already large ASTER short position. This divergence between a high-profile buyer and a whale doubling down on shorts has injected further uncertainty into the market narrative surrounding ASTER.
Price action remains choppy as traders weigh institutional behavior, community influence, and market structure. With sentiment split and volatility rising, ASTER finds itself at the center of a tug-of-war between speculative confidence and defensive positioning — a dynamic that could define its near-term trajectory.
Whale Bets Against Aster Despite CZ’s Public Support
Aster finds itself at the center of an unusual market disconnect, where public sentiment and whale activity are pulling in opposite directions. According to Lookonchain data, shortly after CZ publicly stated that he bought ASTER with his own funds, an influential on-chain trader took the opposite stance. Wallet 0x9eec, a whale known for large directional plays, has been aggressively increasing his ASTER short exposure, signaling skepticism about the token’s near-term performance.
The address now holds 42.97 million ASTER in shorts, currently valued at approximately $52.8 million, with a liquidation price set at $2.091. This is a significant position that clearly reflects conviction — and raises questions across the market. While CZ’s comment boosted visibility and briefly stirred bullish chatter, this whale’s response appears to embody professional skepticism, positioning for downside rather than momentum continuation.
This divergence between symbolic insider confidence and quant-driven bearish positioning highlights a broader dynamic in the current market. Retail participants often react quickly to influencer commentary, while large traders lean on order flow, funding dynamics, and liquidity structure. With Aster trading in a volatile environment and crypto markets under macro pressure, whales appear more focused on risk management and price structure than narrative.
The fact that such a large short exists, and continues to grow, suggests that sophisticated players anticipate either further correction or a liquidity event before a sustainable upside move. For traders, the key will be watching whether ASTER approaches the whale’s liquidation zone — a level that could create violent short-covering if reclaimed — or whether the market continues to follow the whale’s thesis and slides lower.
ASTER Downtrend Intact Below Key Moving Averages
Aster’s price action on the 4-hour chart shows continued weakness despite a brief volatility spike triggered by CZ’s announcement. The token remains in a clear downtrend, consistently trading below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling that bearish momentum still dominates. The sharp bounce toward $1.25 quickly faded, with sellers stepping in almost immediately and pushing the price back toward the $1.00 zone. This reaction suggests that the rally was driven more by short-term sentiment following CZ’s mention than by sustained demand.
The failed breakout attempt also highlights how fragile confidence is in the current market environment. The moving averages are sloping downward, reinforcing a bearish structure, and price has yet to reclaim key resistance levels around $1.20–$1.30, which would be required to signal any meaningful trend reversal. Volume spiked during the recent move, indicating aggressive positioning — likely tied to short buildup from whales, as seen in on-chain data.
Right now, the $0.95–$1.00 range appears to be acting as immediate support, but if selling persists, a deeper retracement toward prior liquidity zones cannot be ruled out. For bulls to regain control, Aster must reclaim the 50-day MA and hold above it with sustained volume. Until then, caution remains warranted, as price structure favors sellers and broader market sentiment remains fragile.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
