XRP’s 3–6 Month Outlook: Analyst Predicts Path Toward $13

Christian Encila

Last Updated: December 3, 2025 3:00 pm

3 mins read

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XRP’s price pullback deepened this week, but a high-timeframe technical view keeps some traders hopeful. Based on reports from analyst Egrag Crypto, the monthly chart remains above the key 21-EMA, and that is being treated as the main guide for the coin’s long-term direction.

Monthly Chart Holds The Stronger Signal

According to Egrag’s multi-timeframe review, seven key charts were checked and six trade below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average. The weaker frames include the four-hour, one-day, three-day, five-day, one-week, and two-week charts.

XRP is trading at $2.18, up 8.5% over the last 24 hours, but shed a measly 0.8% on the weekly frame. That short-term fall explains the current mood among traders.

Big Upside Targets On The Table

Reports have disclosed that the analyst’s longer-term model keeps XRP inside a rising channel on the monthly chart.

The model points to a target band between $9 and $13, and the analyst gives this outcome a 55–65% probability within three to six months if the monthly candle holds above its support.

#XRP – The Chasm ( $13) – 7 Time Frames ( 🧵1/8):

There is 1 Signal Matters Most. Right now, 6 time frames are bearish below the 21 EMA:

4H ⬇️
1D ⬇️
3D ⬇️
5D ⬇️
1W ⬇️
2W⬇️
But there’s 1 KING timeframe still bullish:
1M (Monthly) ⬆️ Above the 21 EMA

General Note: In TA,… pic.twitter.com/788Mk5u5Ng

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 1, 2025

From today’s price, reaching $9 would require roughly an over 4x rise, while $13 would mean close to 7-fold jump. Those are large moves and would likely need strong momentum to happen quickly.

Other Analysts Offer Lower Near-Term Estimates

Other analysts recently projected a $4 price in about four months or by the end of 2026, citing Ripple’s plan to launch RLUSD in Japan by Q1 2026 as one possible driver.

Based on reports, spot XRP ETFs have bought over $756 million worth of the token in the weeks after their launch, a flow that some see as support for future gains.

XRPUSD currently trading at $2.18. Chart: TradingView

Escrow Release Draws Attention

Meanwhile, on-chain data shows Ripple’s escrow unlocked 1 billion XRP for December in two equal transactions of 500 million each.

The first transfer went to the Ripple (9) address on Tuesday. At the time of reporting, the Ripple (9) wallet held 500,000,204 XRP from that release.

One of the 500 million batches was valued at about $1.08 billion at the moment it moved. These monthly unlocks are routine, but they are watched closely by markets because of the extra supply that can enter circulation.

What Traders Should Watch Next

Short-term charts remain under pressure, and momentum indicators on lower timeframes are weak. Yet higher-timeframe momentum can shift quickly when buyers step in, and a single monthly close below or above the 21-EMA would change how analysts read the situation.

Based on reports, holders who follow the monthly structure are being urged to stay patient, while others warn that short-term selling could extend before any sustained recovery.

Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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