XRP’s Silent Build-Up: A ‘Detonation’ May Be Next, Analyst Says

Christian Encila

Last Updated: September 19, 2025 5:30 pm

3 mins read

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According to recent chart work and on-chain checks, some XRP backers say the token may be gearing up for another big move. Analysts who track past cycles point to patterns that played out in 2017 and 2018 and say similar moves could follow now.

XRP Repeats Past Price Cycle

Reports have disclosed that XRP broke a long downtrend in March 2017, running from about $0.0055 to roughly $0.40 by May 2017.

After that first surge, the token cooled and traded sideways for around six months before shooting to $3.31 in January 2018.

According to EtherNasyonal’s charts, the market then entered a long decline and another accumulation phase.

XRP market cap currently at $181 billion. Chart: TradingView

One key detail the analyst highlights is the monthly RSI action: it climbed to about 95 during the first run, fell to roughly 68 in the re-accumulation, then topped 90 during the second leg. These RSI moves are used to argue that the market has room to charge again.

$XRP mega cycle is coming.

Ripple face melting high is loading right there. pic.twitter.com/ow6CnCZCtH

— EᴛʜᴇʀNᴀꜱʏᴏɴᴀL 💹🧲📈 (@EtherNasyonaL) September 17, 2025

A New Breakout And A Familiar Story

According to reports, XRP’s latest major break came in November 2024 when price moved from about $0.50 and ran to $3.40 by January 2025. After that push, the token consolidated for roughly six months, which some call a re-accumulation phase.

XRP Mega Cycle About To Detonate🚀 $XRP isn’t dead — it’s loading.

The mega cycle is coiled like a spring.

Reg clarity ✔️
Ripple building infrastructure ✔️
Face-melting highs incoming ✔️

Are you positioned BEFORE it happens? 👀💎 pic.twitter.com/Qf8F4Z4WKK

— Ripple Bull Winkle | Crypto Researcher 🚀🚨 (@RipBullWinkle) September 18, 2025

EtherNasyonal and other community analysts say XRP has cleared that setup and is poised for the next upward wave. They point to a current 1-month RSI near 68 as a sign of cooling before another possible spike above 90.

The bullish price target being tossed around is $10. One community voice summed it up bluntly: “XRP is not dead; it’s loading.”

538,586 wallets on XRPL have exactly 20 XRP

20 XRP was the minimum reserve from 2013 to 2021.

That’s 10.7 million XRP sitting in these wallets.

— Dr. Artur Kirjakulov (@Kirjakulov) September 17, 2025

On-Chain Numbers And Wallet Behavior

Meanwhile, data from XPMarket’s co-founder Dr. Artur Kirjakulov shows that up to 538,586 XRPL wallets hold 20 XRP each. At a price around $3.1, that 20 XRP equals about $62 per wallet.

Those numbers account for about 7.64% of all XRPL wallets, with the ledger now reporting 7,048,872 total addresses. Reports say nearly 11 million XRP appear to sit idle across many of these wallets. That figure is often cited to make the case for constrained supply if more coins stop circulating.

Meantime, Ripple Bull Winkle and other supporters point to regulatory clarity, new infrastructure work by Ripple, and the arrival of XRP ETFs as forces that could help price.

Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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