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Home Technical analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Hesitates But Further Gains Seem Likely

Aayush Jindal by Aayush Jindal
2 years ago
in Technical analysis
Reading Time: 2min read
technical analysis bitcoin
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  • Bitcoin price formed a strong support near the $3,940 level and climbed higher against the US Dollar.
  • The price managed to clear the $3,965 and $3,980 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.
  • Yesterday’s highlighted key bearish trend line was breached with resistance at $3,970 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The current price action is positive, but buyers need to gain strength above the $4,000 resistance.

Bitcoin price started a slow and steady rise against the US Dollar. BTC is showing positive signs and it seems like there could be an upside extension above the $4,000 and $4,040 levels.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Recently, we saw a downside correction in bitcoin price below the $4,000 support against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair declined below the $3,980 and $3,960 levels. However, the $3,940 level acted as a strong support along with the 100 hourly simple moving average. Later, a solid support base was formed above $3,940 and the price slowly moved higher. It broke the $3,960 resistance and the 50% Fib retracement level of the last slide from the $4,041 high to $3,935 swing low.

More importantly, yesterday’s highlighted key bearish trend line was breached with resistance at $3,970 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair climbed above the $3,980 level to move into a positive zone. It traded above the $4,000 level and formed a high at $4,017 before correcting lower. There was a push below the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3,836 low to $4,014 high. However, the price seems to be following an ascending channel with support at $3,965.

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Besides, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $3,836 low to $4,014 high is also near $3,965. Finally, the 100 hourly SMA is also positioned near the $3,960 support area. Therefore, the price could climb higher as long as it is above $3,960. An initial resistance is at $4,020, above which the price may test the $4,040 resistance.

Bitcoin Price Analysis BTC Chart

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is slowly gaining bullish momentum above the $3,980 level. However, BTC buyers need to gain strength above $4,020 and $4,040 to sustain the recent trend. Conversely, if there is a downside break below $3,960, the price could decline towards the 3,940 support. Any further losses might call for a sharp dip towards the $3,875 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is about to move into the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD moved above the 50 level and it is moving higher towards 60.

Major Support Levels – $3,960 followed by $3,940.

Major Resistance Levels – $4,000, $4,020 and $4,040.

Tags: bitcoinbtc
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Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal

Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Market Strategist with a background in IT and financial markets. He specialises in market strategies and technical analysis, and has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets.

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