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Home Technical analysis

Bitcoin Price (BTC) Sighting Next Downside Break Below $8.2K

Aayush Jindal by Aayush Jindal
1 year ago
in Technical analysis
Reading Time: 2min read
technical analysis bitcoin
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  • Bitcoin price is consolidating yesterday’s losses above the $8,200 support against the US Dollar.
  • The price is clearly trading with a bearish bias and remains at a risk of more losses below $8,000.
  • There is a key breakout pattern forming with resistance near $8,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The price could soon resume its decline below $8,200 unless the bulls push the price above $8,800.

Bitcoin price is forming the next breakout pattern against the US Dollar. BTC could either resume its decline below $8,000 or it might recover towards $9,000.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Yesterday, there was a nasty drop in bitcoin below the $9,000 support area against the US Dollar. The price declined close to 15% and even traded below the $8,500 level. Finally, the price settled well below the 100 hourly simple moving average and traded to a new monthly low at $8,055. Later, there was an upside correction above the $8,200 and $8,400 levels.

Moreover, the price recovered above the $8,500 level, plus the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last major decline from the $10,087 high to $8,055 low. However, the upward move was capped by the $8,750 and $8,800 resistance levels. The bulls made a few attempts to push the price above $8,800, but they failed. As a result, the price started trading in a range below $8,800. At the outset, there is a key breakout pattern forming with resistance near $8,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

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To start a strong recovery, bitcoin price must surpass the $8,600 and $8,800 resistance levels. The next key resistance is near the $9,000 and $9,080 levels. Moreover, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last major decline from the $10,087 high to $8,055 low is also near the $9,070 level. Finally, there is a connecting bearish trend line forming on the same chart with resistance near $9,350 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Conversely, if the price breaks the triangle support at $8,320, there could be a fresh decline. An immediate support is near the $8,200 level, below which the price is likely to revisit the $8,000 support area. Any further losses is likely to open the doors for a drop to $7,500.

Bitcoin Price Analysis BTC Chart

Looking at the chart, bitcoin seems to be preparing for the next break either above $8,600 or towards $8,000. The chances of a downside break are high considering the technical structure below $8,000 and the current price action.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is likely to move back into the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently struggling to climb towards 50.

Major Support Levels – $8,200 followed by $8,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $8,600, $8,750 and $8,800.

Tags: bitcoinbtc
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Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal

Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Market Strategist with a background in IT and financial markets. He specialises in market strategies and technical analysis, and has spent over a DECADE as a financial markets contributor and observer. He possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin and Ethereum markets.

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