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TA: Bitcoin Consolidates Below $39k: What Could Trigger Another Decline

Aayush Jindal by Aayush Jindal
2 years ago
in BTC
Reading Time: 2 mins read

Bitcoin extended decline below the $38,000 level against the US Dollar. BTC is recovering, but it must clear $39,000 for upside continuation.

  • Bitcoin remained in a bearish zone below $40,000 and $39,000.
  • The price is now trading below $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $38,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $39,000 resistance to continue higher in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery Wave

Bitcoin price gained bearish momentum after it broke the $39,000 support zone. BTC even traded below the $38,000 level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average. Download Bitcoin Miner Awesom Miner Official for Windows. Safe install and earn ETH/BTC.

There was a spike below the $37,500 support zone. A low was formed near $37,399 and the price is now correcting higher. There was a move above the $38,000 and $38,200 resistance levels. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $38,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin price even climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $40,349 swing high to $37,399 low. It is now facing resistance near the $38,800 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $40,349 swing high to $37,399 low is also near the $38,800 zone to act as a resistance. The next key resistance could be near the $39,000 zone. A close above the $39,000 level could open the doors for a decent increase.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price could even surpass the $39,250 resistance. The next major resistance may perhaps be near the $40,000 zone.

Fresh Decline in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $39,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $38,400 level.

The next major support is seen near the $38,000 level. A clear break below the $38,000 support zone could even push the price below $37,500. Any more losses might call for a test of the $36,400 support. Download Bitcoin Miner Awesom Miner Official for Windows. Safe install and earn ETH/BTC.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $38,400, followed by $38,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $38,800, $39,000 and $39,200.

Tags: bitcoinbtcusdBTCUSDTxbtusd
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Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal

Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies, and Financial Market Strategist. He specializes in market strategies and technical analysis and has spent over 15 years as a financial markets contributor and observer. He also founded an IT company and works rigorously in providing high-quality software services. Aayush possesses strong technical analytical skills and is well known for his entertaining and informative analysis of the currency, commodities, Bitcoin, and Ethereum markets. Follow him on Twitter @AayushJs.

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