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Bitcoin Pre-Halving Patterns Suggest Bull Market Is Not Starting In 2023

Best Owie by Best Owie
2 months ago
in Bitcoin News
Reading Time: 3 mins read

The Bitcoin halving is arguably the most important event for the blockchain due to its function. As such, it has played a significant role in when the crypto bull market starts and how long it lasts in most cases. Although there have been slight deviations in how it triggers each bull market, pre-halving data over the years suggests that it keeps to quite a tight schedule.

Bitcoin Maintaining Historical Trend

While most of the year has seen Bitcoin deviate from many historical trends, leading to speculation that the next bull market won’t follow the established trend, the digital asset’s current pattern suggests that these widespread speculations may be wrong.

Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says It’s Time To Buy Dogecoin, Here’s Why

In a chart shared on Twitter, pseudonymous crypto analyst @stockmoneyL has presented the argument that Bitcoin could indeed follow the previous bull market trends. The chart shows the number of days between the bottom of the bear market and the next halving event has always maintained a reasonably tight timeline.

Going by the chart, if Bitcoin follows this same timeline, then the bull market will actually begin in 2024. With 532 days between the 2022 bottom and the next halving, it fits in with the average 530 days seen between cycles, after which bull markets have often begun.

Bitcoin halving

Timeline between BTC bottom and halving event match up | Source: Twitter

If this plays out in this instance as well, it would invalidate the expectations of a bull market starting in 2023. It then puts the start of the bull market toward the middle of 2024, similar to other bull markets that have begun following the halving event.

Where Does BTC Land In The Bull Market?

Over the last couple of bull markets, the price of Bitcoin has always surpassed its previous all-time high by a significant margin. For example, during the 2017-2018 bull market, the price of the digital asset clocked an all-time high price of $19,000. And even though it was significant at the time, it was nothing compared to the next ATH.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart from Tradingview.com

BTC bulls push toward $29,500 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

In 2021, at the height of the last bull market, the price of BTC reached as high as $69,000, more than triple its previous all-time high. This trend has always endured through all bull markets and if there is a repeat, then it is possible that the price of BTC will reach $150,000 in the next bull.

Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Transfers To Exchanges Suggest More Selling Pressure For ETH

Now, the exact time frame for this has varied depending on who the forecast was coming from. However, looking at Bitcoin’s previous all-time high peaks, they happen around a year after the halving and start of the bull market. So in this case, it would put the new ATH for the digital asset in 2025.

Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet… Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com
Tags: bitcoinbitcoin bull runBitcoin HalvingbtcbtcusdBTCUSDT
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Best Owie

Best Owie

Best Owie is a seasoned managing editor with a wealth of experience currently serving as the Managing Editor at NewsBTC. Best is a highly skilled professional with a track record of producing engaging and informative content. With a keen eye for detail and a passion for accuracy, Best is committed to ensuring that each article published meets the highest standards of quality. Best has over six years of experience in the crypto industry and has overseen the creation and publishing of thousands of articles over the years. When not curating engaging content, Best can be found reading a book with a cup of hot chocolate, enjoying a Netflix series, or exploring the outdoors. Best is a true professional in every sense of the word with an exceptional dedication to producing high-quality work.

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