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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Slips Below $108,000: Peter Schiff Anticipates ‘Brutal’ Bear Market, CZ Responds

Bitcoin Could Slip In September Before Q4 Rally, Cycle Data Shows

Christian Encila
Christian Encila
1 month ago
3 mins read

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Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 after slipping to $107,000 last week, its lowest mark since July. The rebound has stirred hope among traders, but analysts remain split on whether the current upswing can hold through September.

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September’s Track Record Under Scrutiny

Historical data shows September hasn’t been kind to Bitcoin during post-halving years. In 2017, the coin ended the month with a close to 8% loss, while in 2021 the decline was 7%.

Even further back, in 2013, Bitcoin dropped 1.60% in the same month. That pattern has led some experts to argue that a retest of key technical levels this year is nothing unusual.

Benjamin Cowen, head of ITC Crypto, has repeatedly pointed to the 20-week simple moving average as a marker.

According to him, September tends to bring price dips toward that level before a fourth-quarter recovery takes hold. Cowen believes the recent pullback fits the broader rhythm seen in earlier cycles.

Historically, #Bitcoin finds a low in September of the post-halving year, and then bounces off of it into the market cycle top that occurs in Q4. pic.twitter.com/CVbcPOUojM

— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) September 3, 2025

Mixed Views On Cycle Consistency

Not everyone is convinced. Some analysts have raised questions about whether the cycle is breaking from tradition. They highlighted that Bitcoin normally records gains in August before falling back in September. This time, however, the opposite occurred.

Bitcoin closed August with a 6.25% loss. That stands in stark contrast to August 2017, when the coin surged 64%, and August 2021, when it gained 15%.

Those two robust months were each followed by abrupt September declines. Analysts believe that current data indicate a different configuration could be at work, with macroeconomic parameters such as rate cuts being more pronounced over price action.

BTCUSD trading at $110,726 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

Calls That The Bottom Is Already In

Despite the cautious tone from some analysts, there are voices pointing to a brighter near-term outlook, saying the low for September may already be behind Bitcoin.

The asset opened the month at $108,200, touched a high of $110,100, and fell to $107,000 before rebounding. Based on that sequence, analysts suggest the market may avoid setting new lows this month.

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Cowen, however, continues to stress that corrections after setting fresh highs are part of the cycle. He points to August’s new record peak as evidence that the market is following the same blueprint as previous years.

In his view, the retreat to the 20-week SMA is less a warning sign than a setup for a strong year-end rally.

While the debate over September’s outcome continues, most analysts agree on one point: short-term turbulence is unlikely to alter the long-term picture.

Recent data have made clear that despite temporary dips, Bitcoin is expected to trade far higher in the years ahead.

Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

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Christian Encila
Christian Encila

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Read more

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Close

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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