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Breaking News: FTX Recovery Trust Set To Disburse $1.6 Billion By Month-End, FTT Price Skyrockets

Bitcoin’s Latest ATH: Is The Top Finally In Or Just Getting Started?

Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme
7 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin’s Latest ATH: Is The Top Finally In Or Just Getting Started?

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In the past months, Bitcoin has broken multiple resistance levels to achieve consistent all-time highs each month. So far, the asset’s latest all-time high sits above $109,000 marking a more than 150% increase in year-over-year performance.

Amid this price performance, CryptoQuant analyst Gaah has recently examined Bitcoin’s current position in the market cycle and whether the asset might be nearing a peak.

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Bitcoin: Is The Top In?

According to Gaah’s analysis, the Index of Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI)—a composite metric that includes on-chain data points like the Puell Multiple, MVRV, NUPL, and SOPR—has entered the “distribution region” for the first time in eight months.

Bitcoin IBCI metric.
Bitcoin IBCI metric. | Source: CryptoQuant

While this doesn’t “yet confirm a market top,” it serves as a cautionary signal that Bitcoin could be approaching the final stages of its current bull cycle. For IBCI to hit a definitive top, all its components would need to reach their historical peak levels, according to the analyst.

However, as long as the IBCI remains above 50%, the broader market trend remains bullish, indicating continued demand and the potential for further price increases.

Beyond the IBCI, Gaah notes that additional on-chain indicators present a mixed picture. While the NUPL metric hovers near its upper range, suggesting a possible end to the bull run, the Puell Multiple remains closer to the lower zone, which could indicate room for continued growth.

This interplay of signals suggests that the market may not have reached a definitive top just yet. According to Gaah, historically, a fully realized IBCI peak has preceded corrections and longer-term bear phases. However, the current position offers room for optimism, provided that demand remains strong and other indicators remain supportive.

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Another Diverging Interpretation

In contrast to Gaah’s cautious perspective, another CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci, highlights a different scenario using the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. This metric, designed to spot local tops and bottoms, recently fell to its lowest point in 60 days, signaling a potential “local bottom.”

Bitcoin NVT golden cross
Bitcoin NVT golden cross. | Source: CryptoQuant

Kesmeci explains that historically when the NVT Golden Cross drops below -1.6, it often indicates that the asset is trading within a bottom range. As Bitcoin recently pulled back by about 7.5% after reaching its all-time high, the metric’s current reading could be a precursor to renewed upward momentum. Kesmeci wrote:

Rather than indicating a specific price level, this metric suggests that Bitcoin may be trading within a local bottom zone. Historically, such signals have often preceded recovery and trend reversals, making it an important indicator to monitor.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Samuel Edyme
Samuel Edyme

Samuel Edyme

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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