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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Tumbles Toward $98,000: What’s Driving The Drop And What Lies Ahead
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Breaking News: Bitcoin Price Tumbles Toward $98,000: What’s Driving The Drop And What Lies Ahead

Bitcoin Mean Reversion Oscillator Prints First Green Oversold Bar in Months – A Classic Bull-Market Bottom Signal

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: November 21, 2025 12:00 am
3 mins read
Bitcoin Mean Reversion Oscillator Prints First Green Oversold Bar in Months – A Classic Bull-Market Bottom Signal

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Bitcoin continues to struggle around the $90K level as the market battles intense selling pressure and widespread fear. Short-term sentiment remains fragile, with investors reacting to rapid price swings and mounting downside volatility. Yet, beneath the noise, key on-chain metrics are beginning to show signs that the correction may be nearing exhaustion.

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According to analyst On-Chain Mind, Bitcoin’s Mean Reversion Oscillator has just printed its first green oversold bar in months, a signal that has historically aligned with late-stage retracements during bull markets. This oscillator measures how far price has deviated from its cyclical mean, helping identify when Bitcoin becomes overstretched to the downside.

Each time this indicator dipped into its green oversold zone in previous cycles, Bitcoin was either forming a macro bottom or preparing for a significant rebound. The fact that this signal has appeared while BTC consolidates above $90K — despite severe profit-taking, forced liquidations, and structural fear — suggests that strong hands may be quietly absorbing supply.

Historical Bottom Signals Align as Macro Tailwinds Strengthen

On-Chain Mind explains that Bitcoin’s current Mean Reversion Oscillator reading aligns closely with historical patterns seen during bull market retracements. Each time the oscillator dipped into the green oversold zone while the 35 line held, Bitcoin formed a cyclical bottom before resuming its upward trajectory. This line has acted as a structural support level across multiple market cycles, and the fact that it is holding once again reinforces the idea that strong hands are stepping in as weaker participants capitulate.

Mean Reversion Oscillator | Source: On-Chain Mind
Mean Reversion Oscillator | Source: On-Chain Mind

According to On-Chain Mind, when this indicator flashes green during an ongoing bull market, it often marks textbook accumulation territory — the kind of opportunity that appears only a few times per cycle. The current setup resembles previous late-stage pullbacks rather than the beginning of a prolonged bear trend.

Adding to this outlook, NVIDIA’s blowout earnings delivered a major confidence boost to U.S. equities. With revenue and guidance far exceeding expectations, the results signal that AI-driven demand remains strong. In broader macro terms, such strength in tech leadership often spills over into higher-risk assets like crypto, improving liquidity and investor sentiment.

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Bitcoin Capitulation Deepens Around $90K Level: Classic Late-Stage Fear Structure Emerging

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Testing Support as Momentum Begins to Stabilize

Bitcoin’s latest daily chart shows price attempting to stabilize after a sharp multi-week decline, with BTC currently trading near $92,000. This level is acting as a temporary support zone following the breakdown from the $100K area, where sellers aggressively dominated order books.

The chart reveals a series of lower highs and lower lows — a classic short-term downtrend structure — but the recent candlesticks hint at reduced selling momentum compared to the peak pressure seen earlier in November.

BTC testing fresh lows | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing fresh lows | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The 50-day and 100-day moving averages have both turned downward, reflecting weakening short-term trend strength, while the 200-day MA remains far below price, highlighting that the broader bullish cycle may not be invalidated yet. Importantly, the current candle structure shows smaller bodies and longer lower wicks, suggesting buyers are beginning to absorb sell-side liquidity around the $90K–$92K region.

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Volume profiles also support this shift. While capitulation-like spikes occurred during the heaviest drop, trading activity has now normalized, indicating panic selling is cooling off. Historically, such deceleration after a steep leg down often precedes a relief bounce, even if volatility persists.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
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