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Breaking News: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP In Freefall: What’s Driving The Current Crypto Slump?
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Breaking News: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP In Freefall: What’s Driving The Current Crypto Slump?

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Three Strong Indicators Urge Buying As Experts Predict A 100% Rally Ahead

Ronaldo Marquez
Ronaldo Marquez
1 year ago
3 mins read
Gemini

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The Bitcoin price has experienced a significant correction after failing to consolidate above the $70,000 level and retesting its all-time high of $73,700, which it reached in March. With a retracement of nearly 10% over the past week, BTC is now trading just above support at the $60,000 level. 

However, based on historical data, further price drops may be expected in the coming days, aligning with patterns observed before explosive bull runs.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has compiled data showing the depth and length of retracements during previous market cycles. Historical patterns show retracements of approximately -23% (February 2023), -21% (April/May 2023), -22% (July/September 2023), -21% (January 2024), -23.6% (April/May 2024), and the current -16% retracement. 

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Notably, the current retracement has not yet reached the average depth or length. Considering these statistics, Bitcoin could potentially retrace a further 6% to a trading price of $56,400. 

Additionally, the downtrend may continue for the next seven days until July 1st, possibly marking the final retrace below the sub $60,000 levels before a potential restart of the bull run and explosive price gains.

However, the Bitcoin Crosby Ratio, a key indicator, is approaching the oversold territory. Throughout Bitcoin’s history, this has often signaled crucial reversal points for the cryptocurrency. Notably, the last time this occurred, Bitcoin rallied over 190% from approximately $25,000 to new all-time highs above $73,000. 

Furthermore, the Bitcoin daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered the oversold zone for the fourth time since the $15,500 bottom reached in November 2022. In the past, such occurrences have frequently preceded rallies, resulting in gains of over 100%.

Time To Buy The Dip? 

Renowned market expert Ali Martinez has identified a compelling correlation between Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) Ratio and subsequent price jumps. 

The MVRV Ratio is a metric that compares the market capitalization of Bitcoin to the realized value of its coins. It provides insights into whether Bitcoin holders are at a profit or loss based on when they acquired their coins. 

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Bitcoin Price
BTC’s MVRV indicator. Source: Ali Martinez on X

When the MVRV Ratio dips into negative territory, it suggests that many Bitcoin holders are in unrealized losses, potentially indicating an attractive buying opportunity.

Analyzing the historical data, Martinez observed a consistent pattern where Bitcoin’s price experienced notable jumps following MVRV Ratio dips below -8.40%. 

On four occasions, these dips were followed by price surges of 63%, 100%, 92%, and 28%, respectively. These findings indicate that periods of negative MVRV Ratios can indicate strong market support and a subsequent bullish trend.

Bitcoin price
The 1-D chart shows that BTC’s price has been trending downward for the past 20 days. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

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Ronaldo Marquez
Ronaldo Marquez

Ronaldo Marquez

Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Read more

Ronaldo's journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.

Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.

One of Ronaldo's defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.

Ronaldo's commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo's writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.

Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.

However, Ronaldo's aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.

Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.

With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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