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Breaking News: Trump Prepares To Allow Crypto Investments In $9 Trillion Retirement Market

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are Capitulating—Will June Pattern Repeat?

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
2 hours ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin

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On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin short-term holders have switched to loss-taking recently. Here’s what this could mean for the asset.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Has Dropped Below 1.0

In a new post on X, the on-chain analysis platform Checkonchain has talked about how the behavior of the Bitcoin short-term holders has changed recently. The indicator shared by Checkonchain is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which tells us about whether the BTC investors are selling/moving their coins at a profit or loss.

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When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are participating in profit-taking. On the other hand, it being under the mark suggests the market is realizing a net loss. In the context of the current discussion, the SOPR of the entire network isn’t of interest, but rather that of only a specific part of it: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the holders who purchased their coins in the past 155 days.

Statistically, the longer investors hold onto their coins, the less likely they are to sell them at any point. But since the STH group is made up of holders with a short holding time, conviction tends to be weak among its members, with panic selloffs often taking place.

Recently, Bitcoin has seen a decline, so it would be expected that the STHs would have shown some kind of reaction. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm, showing the nature of selling that the cohort has participated in.

Bitcoin STH SOPR
The value of the metric appears to have declined below 1 in recent days | Source: @_checkonchain on X

As is visible in the graph, the Bitcoin STH SOPR shot up to a notable level above 1 when the asset’s price set its all-time high (ATH), indicating that these fickle-minded hands took the opportunity of the rally to exit in profit. The profit-taking, however, declined in the consolidation phase that followed this peak, and the recent bearish price action has outright pushed the metric below 1.

The indicator currently has a value of 0.99, which is still almost neutral, but it does show that some top buyers have started to capitulate. As Checkonchain explains, “many recent top buyers and ‘Weaker’ hands are selling around their buy-in price and saying ‘get me out.'”

In the past, capitulation events from the Bitcoin STHs have often meant a flush of weak hands, facilitating bottom formations for the cryptocurrency. Sometimes these events can go on for a while before the market reaches a turnaround, as happened in the lead-up to the April low.

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But interestingly, the STH SOPR’s dip into the loss-taking zone in June was quite short-lived and led into a quick reversal for the asset. It now remains to be seen which trend will play out for BTC this time.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has shown some recovery during the past day as its price has jumped to $116,400.

Bitcoin Price Chart
The trend in the BTC price over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, charts.checkonchain.com, chart from TradingView.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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