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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Bitcoin Spot Is King – STH Selling Pressure Expected To Be Absorbed By ETFs

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
7 months ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin Spot Is King – STH Selling Pressure Expected To Be Absorbed By ETFs

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Bitcoin has experienced a whirlwind of volatility following its recent all-time high of $93,483 set on Wednesday. Over the past few days, the price has oscillated between this record level and a low of $85,100, indicating the potential onset of a consolidation phase before the next major move. Traders and investors are now closely monitoring whether BTC will stabilize or continue its upward trajectory.

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Key data from CryptoQuant suggests that selling pressure may increase quickly, primarily driven by speculative traders looking to lock in quick profits. However, this doesn’t necessarily spell trouble for Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

Analysts predict that much of the selling pressure will be absorbed by the growing demand for Bitcoin ETFs, which have gained significant traction among institutional investors.

This balance between short-term selling and institutional accumulation could set the stage for Bitcoin’s next move. With volatility expected to persist in the coming days, market participants are eagerly watching for signals that might indicate the direction of BTC’s price action. Whether this phase leads to a deeper correction or propels Bitcoin toward new highs, one thing is clear—Bitcoin continues to dominate the financial landscape with its dynamic performance.

Bitcoin Strong Demand Supports Bullish Price Action

Bitcoin’s price action has been impressive, surging by 38% over the past ten days. This rapid rise has caught the attention of many investors, reaffirming the growing strength of Bitcoin’s demand. 

Key data from CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler offers insight into the current market dynamics, highlighting that Bitcoin is trading above its short-term holder (STH) cost basis of $69,000. This level represents a crucial support threshold for those who acquired Bitcoin in the past few months, indicating solid demand above this price.

Bitcoin STH Cost Basis at $69K and MVRV stands at 1.3
Bitcoin STH Cost Basis at $69K and MVRV stands at 1.3 | Source: Axel Adler on X

Additionally, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio stands at 1.3, suggesting that Bitcoin is still profitable. However, Adler notes that if this ratio crosses the 1.35 mark, it could trigger selling pressure from short-term speculators looking to lock in profits.

While this may prompt some market volatility, it’s important to note that most of these coins are expected to be absorbed by growing institutional demand, particularly through Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

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This data points to a significant shift in Bitcoin’s rally—rather than being fueled by speculative futures trades, the recent surge appears to be driven by strong spot demand. Spot demand typically reflects a more sustainable, stable price move than the volatility often seen in futures-driven rallies. 

As Bitcoin continues to trade above key support levels, the outlook remains bullish, driven by a healthy balance between speculative trading and long-term institutional interest.

BTC Technical View: Prices To Watch 

Bitcoin is trading at $89,240, reflecting a 7% retrace from its recent all-time high of $93,483. The price has consolidated below this level following a period of aggressive upward momentum that propelled it into price discovery territory.

This pause in the rally allows the market to stabilize and test key support levels before determining its next move.

BTC consolidates below its ATH
BTC consolidates below its ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

During this consolidation, the $85,000 mark has emerged as a crucial support level. If Bitcoin can hold above this level in the coming days, it may provide the foundation for another surge, potentially challenging the $90,000 resistance and retesting its all-time high. A successful reclaim of $90,000 would signal renewed bullish momentum, paving the way for further price expansion.

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However, failure to maintain the $85,000 support could lead to a deeper correction. In this scenario, Bitcoin would likely seek lower-level demand, with $82,000 emerging as a significant area of interest for buyers.

As the market navigates this critical phase, traders and investors will closely watch price action for signals of either a breakout or a pullback, with both scenarios carrying implications for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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