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Breaking News: Expert Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Fall To $45,000 By End Of 2026
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Breaking News: Expert Predicts Bitcoin Price Could Fall To $45,000 By End Of 2026

Bitcoin Trades At Discount For The Past Month Signaling Selling Pressure – What This Means

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: February 1, 2025 9:30 pm
3 mins read
Bitcoin Trades At A Coinbase Discount For The Past Month Signaling U.S. Selling Pressure – What This Means

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Volatility remains the norm in the Bitcoin market, with aggressive price swings defining the past few days. On Monday, BTC dropped to $97K before surging to $106K yesterday. However, the price has since retraced and now consolidates around the $102K mark, keeping investors on edge about its next move.

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Top analyst Daan shared key insights from Coinglass, revealing that Bitcoin has mostly traded with a Coinbase discount over the past month, as indicated by the Coinbase premium index. This means that other spot exchanges are pricing BTC higher than Coinbase, signaling increased selling pressure from US investors. A Coinbase premium typically indicates strong demand from institutional and ETF buyers, reinforcing bullish sentiment. However, with the index currently flat, the US market seems indecisive.

As Bitcoin consolidates below all-time highs, traders are closely watching whether it can reclaim key resistance levels or face another wave of selling pressure. If BTC breaks above $106K again, a test of the all-time high could follow. However, losing the $100K support level could lead to further downside and extended consolidation. The coming days will be crucial in determining the next phase for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin At A Crucial Level As Market Awaits Next Move

Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment after failing to retest its all-time high (ATH) and now seeking support to fuel the next leg up. The $110K level remains the key psychological target above ATH, and once BTC breaks and holds above it, the entire market could enter a new bullish phase.

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Despite recent upside momentum, BTC has struggled to gain a clear breakout, leading to uncertainty among investors. Analysts remain divided—some see this as a natural consolidation before Bitcoin makes its next big move, while others worry about a deeper correction if BTC fails to hold key support levels.

Top analyst Daan shared key insights from Coinglass, revealing that Bitcoin has mostly traded with a Coinbase discount over the past month. This means that BTC is priced lower on Coinbase compared to other spot exchanges, indicating that selling pressure is coming primarily from US investors.

Coinbase bitcoin Premium Index | Source: Coinglass by Daan on X
Coinbase bitcoin Premium Index | Source: Coinglass data by Daan on X

Historically, a Coinbase premium has signaled strong institutional demand, particularly from ETFs and major financial players. However, with the index currently flat, the US market seems cautious. For BTC to confirm a bullish breakout, holding above $102K and reclaiming $106K is critical. If Bitcoin loses these levels, a retest of $100K support could be imminent, delaying a breakout into price discovery.

Bitcoin Price Consolidates Below Key Levels

Bitcoin is currently trading at $102,400, showing signs of consolidation as the price remains bounded between the $106K resistance and the $100K support levels. This range has defined Bitcoin’s short-term movements, and a breakout in either direction will likely dictate the next trend.

BTC testing crucial liquidity | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing crucial liquidity | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

A breakdown below $100K could lead to further consolidation or even a deeper correction, delaying Bitcoin’s bullish breakout. If BTC fails to hold this psychological level, selling pressure could increase, pushing prices lower before any attempt at recovery.

On the other hand, reclaiming and holding above $106K would be a major bullish signal, suggesting that price discovery is imminent. This would clear the path for Bitcoin to test its all-time high (ATH) and target the $110K mark, potentially triggering a fresh rally.

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For now, uncertainty remains the dominant theme as the market waits for a decisive price move to confirm short-term direction. With volatility increasing, traders are closely monitoring these key levels, knowing that a clean breakout or breakdown will set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major move.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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