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Breaking News: ‘Crypto Week’ Takes A Hit: US House Fails To Advance Key Acts
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Breaking News: ‘Crypto Week’ Takes A Hit: US House Fails To Advance Key Acts

Bitcoin Unprecedented Liquidity And Rate Reversal: A Perfect Storm For Market Correction?

Ronaldo Marquez
Ronaldo Marquez
1 year ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin

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Despite Bitcoin’s recent recovery to the key level of $26,100, signaling a crucial point for its future gains and preventing further decline, there are worrisome signals that could raise concerns for Bitcoin bulls in the short term.

The combination of factors presents a potential perfect storm for a market correction.

One contributing piece is the higher-than-expected US August headline inflation, coming in at 3.7% up from the previous month’s 3.2%. Although not a game-changer, it implies that the odds of another rate hike are marginally up, now standing at 53%. Jeroen Blokland, a multi-asset investor, highlights this development.

Bitcoin
Higher-than-expected inflation data was released today. Source: Jeroen Blokland on X.

Additionally, Bloomberg’s senior macro strategist, Mike McGlone, suggests that Bitcoin may be leading a downward trend. McGlone emphasizes that Bitcoin is an “exceptionally liquid” asset that has experienced significant appreciation without being tied to specific projects or liabilities. 

However, since it emerged during a period of historically low-interest rates, its position as a potential frontrunner for a market reversion is noteworthy.

US Inflation Data And Rising Interest Rates Pose Challenges For Bitcoin Bull Run

One key indicator highlighted by McGlone is the rollover of Bitcoin’s 20-week moving average (MA), which has implications for all risk assets. 

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Being one of the best-performing assets in history, Bitcoin’s reversion lower is a significant observation. McGlone’s analysis reveals that federal funds futures for the next year hover above 5%, indicating limited expectations for liquidity from the Federal Reserve (Fed). 

Bitcoin
BTC’s 20-week mean rolling historical implications. Source: Mike McGlone on X.

A similar pattern was observed in Bitcoin’s mean reversion at the beginning of 2022 when futures began pricing for the current tightening cycle.

As the lower bound of the federal funds rate rapidly rises from zero to 5.2% and is expected to continue increasing, significant pressure on all risk assets, including Bitcoin, may ensue.

McGlone also highlights the historical relationship between Bitcoin and the broader market. Following the liquidity injection resulting from the shift to zero interest rates in early 2020, Bitcoin’s 20-week moving average reached its bottom before the S&P 500 experienced a similar trend in the third quarter of that year. 

Mike McGlone’s analysis raises concerns about Bitcoin’s future performance amid changing interest rate dynamics and the potential impact on all risk assets. As Bitcoin’s 20-week moving average shows signs of rolling over, investors and market participants will closely monitor its price trajectory and its ability to withstand the pressures of rising interest rates. 

BTC’s Battle With Resistance, Will It Break Through Or Face A Seven-Month Low?

At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency in the market, Bitcoin (BTC), is facing a challenge in surpassing the resistance wall at $26,400, as highlighted by NewsBTC. 

Over the past 24 hours, BTC has managed to gain a modest 0.3%, while the most significant gains in the last 30 days have occurred within the seven-day timeframe, with a modest surge of 1.9%.

Bitcoin
BTC is trading sideways above the $26,000 mark on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Should BTC succeed in surpassing its immediate resistance, it will encounter the formidable 200-day and 50-day moving averages (MA) at levels of $27,000 and $27,100, respectively. These levels pose significant hurdles for the cryptocurrency’s prospects and potential future gains.

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Conversely, if BTC experiences an extended decline and relinquishes its current modest gains, Bitcoin bulls must closely monitor the crucial threshold at the $25,150 level. 

A breach of this level could potentially drive BTC down to a seven-month low of $22,000, jeopardizing the cryptocurrency’s bull run and the gains achieved since the beginning of the year.

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Ronaldo Marquez
Ronaldo Marquez

Ronaldo Marquez

Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Read more

Ronaldo's journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.

Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.

One of Ronaldo's defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.

Ronaldo's commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo's writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.

Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.

However, Ronaldo's aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.

Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.

With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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