Expert Reveals Key Macro Indicators For Bitcoin: A Roadmap To Next Rally?

Samuel Edyme

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin advocate and CEO of Jan3, Samson Mow, has pinpointed a range of macroeconomic indicators that could signal an impending rally for Bitcoin. Mow focuses on exchange-traded inflows (ETF), Bitcoin’s Hashrate, and whale activity on prominent exchanges like Bitfinex.

The Jan3 CEO also mentioned the 200-week moving average (WMA) in forecasting Bitcoin’s trajectory. The recent data shared by Cypherpunk on X highlighting significant whale accumulation on Bitfinex further supports Mow’s Bitfinex whale indicator, suggesting an increased interest from large-scale investors in the flagship crypto.

This is some great alpha from @Excellion. You can see for yourself that the whales on #Bitfinex are accumulating #Bitcoin. Decide what you want to do with that information. 🚀 https://t.co/IHjrqUvrDn pic.twitter.com/FS518AIYoz

— CYPHERPUNK (@cypherpunkstore) January 29, 2024

Broader Economic Indicators

Mow also looks beyond the crypto-specific data, considering global economic factors like Tether’s USDT Assets Under Management, government debt payments, and Debt-to-GDP ratios. The Bitcoin advocate believes these factors, along with nation-state adoption of Bitcoin, real inflation rates, and M3 money supply, could profoundly impact Bitcoin’s performance.

These are the #Bitcoin macro indicators I’m looking at:

⬆️ ETF inflows
⬆️ Hashrate
⬆️ Finex whale accumulation
⬆️ 200 WMA trend
⬆️ Tether USDt AUM
⬆️ Govt interest payments on debt
⬆️ Debt GDP ratios
⬆️ Nation-state Bitcoin adoption
⬆️ Real inflation
⬆️ M3 money

— Samson Mow (@Excellion) January 28, 2024

Notably, Samson Mow has remained steadfast in his ambitious prediction for BTC, maintaining a $1 million price target for the crypto. Mow recently cautioned about the potential ‘max pain‘ accompanying a rapid ascent of Bitcoin to this monumental valuation.

Furthermore, Mow has recently suggested that this significant price milestone could materialize relatively quickly, possibly within days or weeks. However, according to the Jan3 CEO, the starting point for this potential surge is “TBD” (to be disclosed).

My main prediction is the run up to $1M happens in days to weeks. Starting point TBD.

— Samson Mow (@Excellion) January 14, 2024

Bitcoin Latest Trajectory And Prediction

Despite a recent dip below $39,000 last week, BTC has shown a slight increase, with an uptick bringing its price above $42,000. This recovery, though slight, aligns with the optimistic predictions of various analysts and experts, including Samson Mow.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView — BTC price is moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

SkyBridge Capital’s founder, Anthony Scaramucci, has also joined the chorus with an optimistic prediction for Bitcoin. Scaramucci’s analysis suggests a potential 300% increase in Bitcoin’s value post-halving, with a long-term price target of $400,000.

His estimates, based on historical data and market trends, indicate that the peak bullish period for BTC could be about 18 months after the halving event. These predictions are further supported by the recent developments in Bitcoin ETFs, including the filing of the first-ever Bitcoin spot ETF in Hong Kong, indicating a growing institutional interest in BTC.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname - HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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