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Breaking News: CryptoQuant Issues Stark Forecast — Bitcoin May Fall As Low As $10,000 This Year
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Breaking News: CryptoQuant Issues Stark Forecast — Bitcoin May Fall As Low As $10,000 This Year

Are The Rising Oil Prices Bullish Or Bearish For The Bitcoin Price?

Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson
Last Updated: April 2, 2026 10:30 pm
3 mins read
Bitcoin

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The ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to put immense pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets. As investor sentiments turn increasingly cautious, analysts are weighing the potential impact of rising oil prices on Bitcoin. The overall outlook is not looking good, with projections suggesting further downside for the leading cryptocurrency. A clearer path to recovery may only appear if regional tensions ease. 

Surging Oil Prices Could See Bitcoin Crash Harder

Market analysts have shared their thoughts and concerns with The Block about the ongoing US-Iran war and its impact on financial and crypto markets. Rachel Lucas, a crypto analyst at BTC Markets, has emphasized that the Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate amid new developments in the Middle East conflict.

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Are The Rising Oil Prices Bullish Or Bearish For The Bitcoin Price?

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Lucas noted that Bitcoin has had a volatile week, rising to $72,000 as investors hoped for a diplomatic resolution to the ongoing war. He noted that these gains were quickly reversed as optimism faded and concerns over oil supply resurfaced. This, in turn, triggered a “classic risk-off unwind,” in which investors pulled back from risky assets like Bitcoin and moved to safer investments amid fear. 

The analyst also explained that the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz is fueling concerns about inflation. These fears make it unlikely that the Federal Reserve will lower rates anytime soon, limiting opportunities for economic relief. Consequently, uncertainty and tighter financial conditions are adding further pressure on the crypto market, contributing to the recent decline across major assets. 

Expressing similar concerns, market expert Jeff Mei has taken a bearish stance on Bitcoin amid persistent tensions in the Middle East. The analyst stated that oil prices will likely remain elevated, which could slow economic growth in the months ahead. According to Mei, the combination of rising energy costs and weaker economic conditions means that crypto prices still have lots of room to decline. He projected that Bitcoin could even face another price crash to $60,000 before any sustained recovery. 

Notably, most bearish forecasts for Bitcoin clustered around the $60,000 level, suggesting that experts may see this as Bitcoin’s final price bottom. Analysts at Bernstein have also confirmed this price floor ahead of its $150,000 projected surge in the next bull cycle. 

Retail Investors Remain “Fearful”

Lucas has also emphasized that retail investors are currently showing signs of fear, with many either hedging their positions or waiting on the sidelines for the market to stabilize and show clear direction. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index reflects this hesitation, as broader market sentiment stays neutral. 

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At the same time, the crypto Fear and Greed Index shows that the entire market is in extreme fear territory. Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have continued to decline, further eroding investors’ confidence.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $66,400 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson is a prominent crypto writer at NewsBTC with a knack for capturing the pulse of the market, covering pivotal shifts, technological advancements, and regulatory changes with precision. Having witnessed the evolving landscape of the crypto world firsthand, Scott is able to dissect complex crypto topics and present them in an accessible and engaging manner. Scott's dedication to clarity and accuracy has made him an indispensable asset, helping to demystify the complex world of cryptocurrency for countless readers.

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Scott’s experience spans a number of industries outside of crypto including banking and investment. He has brought his vast experience from these industries into crypto, which allows him to understand even the most complex topics and break them down in a way that is easy for readers from all works of life to understand. Scott’s pieces have helped to break down cryptocurrency processes and how they work, as well as the underlying groundbreaking technology that makes them so important to everyday life.

With years of experience in the crypto market, Scott began to focus on his true passion: writing. During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others.

Scott’s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott’s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry.

Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors.
In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else.

Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies.

Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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