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Breaking News: Tether Targets $500 Billion Valuation In New Equity Offering Amid US Expansion Plans

On-Chain Indicator Signals Bitcoin Cycle Top Is Far Ahead – Data Confirms Bullish Outlook

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
10 months ago
3 mins read
On-Chain Indicator Signals Bitcoin Cycle Top Is Far Ahead – Data Confirms Bullish Outlook

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Bitcoin currently ranges between $65,000 and $69,500 following two weeks of bullish price action, sparking renewed optimism among analysts and investors. The prevailing sentiment is that BTC is on the verge of reaching new all-time highs in the coming weeks, with confidence building that March’s cycle top predictions may have been premature. 

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Key metrics from CryptoQuant reveal that Bitcoin is still far from typical cycle-top conditions, instead signaling a bullish outlook as we move into November. As the U.S. election approaches November 5 and macroeconomic factors continue to shift, price action is expected to remain unpredictable and volatile.

Market participants are watching closely, expecting that geopolitical and economic events could influence BTC’s trajectory. Given this context, many believe the next major move for Bitcoin could catalyze a fresh leg up, potentially breaking through previous highs.

Bitcoin Calm Before The Storm?

Bitcoin is holding firm above $67,000, showing resilience as it edges to a potential breakout above $70,000. However, the current price action indicates that Bitcoin may consolidate below this key level before moving up to new highs in the next leg. Market participants closely watch BTC’s behavior around these price levels, as a sustained push above $70,000 could set the stage for significant gains.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler recently shared critical insights on X, highlighting the current Long-Term Holder (LTH) to Short-Term Holder (STH) SOPR Ratio, which sits at 1.8. This metric is often used to gauge selling pressure and market sentiment, with higher levels indicating increased profit-taking that could signal a market peak. 

Bitcoin LTH/STH SOPR Ratio at 1.8. Risk of cycle culmination when it rises to 7
Bitcoin LTH/STH SOPR Ratio at 1.8. Risk of cycle culmination when it rises to 7 | Source: Axel Adler on X

According to Adler, when this ratio climbs to around 7, Bitcoin will be nearing a cycle culmination. The ratio’s bullish cross with its 90-day moving average reflects a positive outlook, supporting the narrative that BTC remains well below its cycle top.

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This metric’s movement and broader market strength paint a favorable picture for Bitcoin’s price action in the coming weeks. The data suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow within this cycle, providing confidence to long-term holders and investors looking for continued upside.

BTC Technical Levels

Bitcoin is trading at $67,500, facing challenges after failing to maintain its bullish structure on the 4-hour chart. The price couldn’t set a new high above $69,500, marking a potential shift in momentum. A crucial support level now sits at $65,000, the local low that previously held the bullish trend intact. Holding above this level is essential to prevent a broader retrace and maintain confidence among bulls.

BTC ranging between $69,500 and $65,000 (4H)
BTC ranging between $69,500 and $65,000 (4H) | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Currently, price action remains indecisive, leaving the direction for the coming days unclear. A breakout above $69,500 would restore the bullish structure, likely drawing more buyers into the market and signaling another rally attempt. Conversely, a break below the $65,000 support would signal a retrace, potentially leading BTC to lower demand zones as bulls look to regroup.

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Solana Stays Strong Despite BTC Drop – $176 Next?

11 months ago

The current consolidation phase highlights the importance of these levels in determining Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. With both bulls and bears vying for control, BTC’s ability to hold above $65,000 will be crucial to retaining bullish sentiment.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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