PlanB’s Market Cycle Analysis: Bitcoin Gears Up For Skyrocketing Beyond $100,000

Samuel Edyme

1 year ago

3 mins read

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In a recent post that echoes his previous analysis, the renowned Stock-2-Flow (S2F) model creator, PlanB, highlighted a pivotal phase transition in the Bitcoin market. However, it may remain unrecognized by many.

Reflecting on his analysis from January of the previous year, PlanB recalled his declaration that the bear market phase had ended and an accumulation phase had commenced. Despite this, many at the time were still anticipating a fall to a Bitcoin price of $10,000.

Consequently, even as the analyst’s model signals a phase transition for Bitcoin, skepticism may still cloud the perception of many in the market.

Bitcoin Enters A Phase Transition, Poised For Rally

Despite the market movement, PlanB’s Bitcoin Market Cycle Model chart indicates that the flagship cryptocurrency has been in an accumulation stage. This critical period of consolidation began in early January last year, according to PlanB, aligning with the analyst’s earlier assertion that the bear market had concluded at that time.

The accumulation phase is typically marked by increased buying activity, often by long-term investors or ‘whales,’ laying the groundwork for future price surges.

PlanB’s analysis, shared earlier last year, suggests that Bitcoin had bottomed out in November 2022, with a low of $15,500. The analyst posits that the trajectory for Bitcoin is set for substantial growth leading up to the 2024 halving and the ensuing bull market in 2025.

The best thing about this bitcoin market cycle model is that only a few will believe it when it detects a phase transition. For example, when I tweeted on Jan 12 that the bear market (green) was over and the accumulation phase (blue) had begun, many were still calling for 10k. https://t.co/V74Y8VYCVo pic.twitter.com/l2uuFaVr14

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) January 16, 2024

PlanB forecasted in the post shared last January that Bitcoin’s value would trade above $32,000 post-halving and even reach or surpass the $100,000 mark in the bull market in 2025.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView.com — BTC price is moving sideways on the 1-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Further Surge Ahead

The bullish sentiment is further echoed by PlanB’s recent predictions, including a pre-halving surge, a rally following the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and a monumental peak anticipated in the coming years.

His YouTube video outlines a short-term forecast of Bitcoin soaring beyond $50,000 leading up to the April halving.

Peering into the future, the creator of the S2F model, PlanB, anticipates that BTC will surpass its previous highest value, potentially achieving a price point of $100,000 within the year. This forecast further gains credibility with the recent approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

PlanB’s long-term vision for Bitcoin is even more audacious, projecting a climb to $532,000 by 2025. This forecast is underpinned by the analyst’s Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model.

I expect $55k bitcoin at halving, $100k in 2024, $532k in 2025:https://t.co/TSo7TpNfzb pic.twitter.com/mQaXM5Qabb

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) January 10, 2024

The model suggests a future where BTC transcends its current status to become a dominant digital store of value, potentially reshaping the traditional financial landscape.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname - HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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