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CNBC’s recent analysis of Tesla earnings report revealed a troubling trend for the electric vehicle giant: it missed expectations for major revenue and earnings from Bitcoin (BTC) investments in the second quarter.
However, a less publicized detail from the investor deck highlighted a significant aspect of Tesla’s financial landscape—its digital assets are now valued at $1.24 billion, an increase from $722 million just a year ago. Yet, this figure also underscores a lost opportunity, with billions in potential gains slipping through Tesla’s fingers.
Tesla’s Bitcoin Strategy
Bitcoin, which has surged nearly 80% over the past year and is currently trading near record highs, plays a crucial role in this narrative. Tesla made headlines in mid-2022 when it sold 75% of its Bitcoin holdings, capitalizing on a market that was significantly lower than today’s prices.
CEO Elon Musk has emphasized that the company’s future lies in innovations like robotaxis and humanoid robots rather than crypto investments. However, with Tesla currently grappling with a decline in auto revenue—reporting a second consecutive drop—these digital assets could have provided a vital cash infusion.
The impact of this strategic decision is evident: Tesla’s stock (TSLA) fell 8% following the earnings report, marking a 25% decline for the year, making it one of the worst performers among major tech stocks.
Musk’s projects, such as robotaxis and the Optimus robot, reportedly require substantial investment in a landscape characterized by intense competition. Additionally, the company faces challenges from external factors, including tariffs imposed with President Donald Trump’s administration and the expiration of federal EV tax credits, which may impact its core business in the near future.
Despite these challenges, Tesla’s digital assets contributed to profitability, with gains from Bitcoin amounting to $284 million in the second quarter, alongside a total net income of $1.17 billion.
However, this gain could have been much larger had Tesla retained its entire Bitcoin investment. In early 2021, Tesla invested $1.5 billion in Bitcoin, anticipating the digital currency’s “long-term potential” and aiming to diversify its cash reserves.
From Boom To Bust
CNBC reports that Musk’s vocal support for Bitcoin significantly influenced its price, especially in early 2021 when a tweet that included #bitcoin sent the currency soaring by 20% in a single day.
Yet, by mid-2022, the economic climate had shifted dramatically. The aftermath of the COVID-19 boom was characterized by rising inflation and increasing interest rates, which led to a widespread aversion to risky assets.
In this environment, Tesla opted to liquidate three-quarters of its Bitcoin holdings, a decision that brought cash to its balance sheet as both equity and crypto markets began a steep decline.
While Tesla’s market cap suffered greatly in 2022, losing about two-thirds of its value, Bitcoin itself fell by 60%. However, the cryptocurrency has made a substantial comeback this year, buoyed by regulatory easing efforts in the US and discussions around creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
Had Tesla maintained its original Bitcoin holdings, the current value would approximate $5 billion, in stark contrast to the existing valuation of $1.24 billion. The $936 million in Bitcoin converted to cash would now be worth over $3.5 billion.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com