Dogecoin Warning: Double Top Formation Hints At Decline – Analyst

Christian Encila

Last Updated: September 23, 2025 3:00 am

2 mins read

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Dogecoin fell to $0.238 after a sharp sell-off that erased gains and pushed volatility higher. According to market feeds, the coin lost 9.5% in the past 24 hours and about 8% over the week, with a sudden spike in activity that traders say caught many off guard.

Double Top Triggers: Cause For Concern?

According to analyst Merlijn The Trader, price action showed two failed attempts to push higher before sliding beneath a neckline near $0.27. That setup produced a measured move target around $0.238 — a level the market reached.

Resistance sits at $0.27, and a daily close above $0.28 would weaken the bearish case. For now, traders watching the pattern see the chart as favoring downside while the price stays under the neckline.

$DOGE IS FLASHING A TEXTBOOK DOUBLE TOP.

Bearish retest locked. Target sits at $0.238.

Don’t confuse noise with signal.

The chart is already telling the truth. pic.twitter.com/GJ32G2kniw

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) September 21, 2025

Retest Keeps Bull Case Alive

Other analysts have a different read, pointing out a completed retest of a long running descending trendline that had capped rallies for months. The breakout above that line was followed by a pullback into a $0.24–$0.25 zone where support showed up.

If the memecoin holds above that base, momentum could push toward $0.30, with further upside possible to $0.32–$0.35 — levels the token traded at earlier this year.

DOGEUSD currently trading at $0.24. Chart: TradingView

On-Chain Data And Market Activity

Reports have disclosed on-chain measures that add context to the price swings. Market Value to Realized Value, or MVRV, has climbed but is still below the highs seen in prior tops, a point raised by some analysts. DOGE has traded mostly between $0.20 and $0.25 since 2023, which some see as a steady base rather than a blow-off top.

Trading numbers underline the heat. Market cap sits near $36 billion while 24-hour volume surged to about $4.7 billion — up 180%. Circulating supply is steady at 151.04 billion DOGE, and the volume-to-market-cap ratio sits at 13.04%, a sign of unusually aggressive activity from both large holders and retail traders.

ETF Talk Fuels Price Targets

ETF chatter remains part of the mix. Based on market commentary from Ali Martinez, regaining the $0.27–$0.28 band could spark a quick push toward $0.45, with interim targets at $0.39.

Martinez points to the brief breakout above $0.27 as a bullish signal, even if it did not hold for long. For many traders, ETF expectations are the catalyst that would turn near-term weakness into renewed rallies.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.