Altcoin Season Is Here, But What’s That Mean for Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance?

Tony "The Bull" Severino

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Over the last couple of weeks, bullish sentiment has returned to the crypto market. However, it’s not Bitcoin (BTC) that is causing the stir, it’s the possible altcoin season that is upon us that has traders, analysts, and investors everywhere interested again.

Most of the altcoin market has had a significant spike relative to their Bitcoin counterpart, and according to BTC dominance charts, a break below current dominance could send the altcoin market skyrocketing while Bitcoin remains relatively dormant.

If Bitcoin Dominance Breaks Down, Altcoins Should Soar

There’s no denying that the crypto market is at a critical juncture at the moment. The total crypto market cap has broken out of downtrend resistance, and traders everywhere are convinced an altcoin season is upon us. Even Google Trends suggests that this is true, due to a surging level of interest in Bitcoin’s crypto brethren.

While price charts of various altcoins when compared to BTC clearly depict that there is currently more buying interest in alts, BTC dominance has remained relatively stable even since August of 2018, when Bitcoin went on its own rally independent of altcoins.

total marketcap slowly breaking out on increasing volume pic.twitter.com/AqtQ4PKFAB

— Ed_NL (@Crypto_Ed_NL) March 15, 2019

However, according to a number of crypto analysts, BTC dominance is resting on support after repeated touches, and could break down significantly. Further adding credence to this theory, is the timing of the altcoin season, as well as the total crypto market cap downtrend resistance being broken.

Sweating pic.twitter.com/mfHPH1Bx4P

— Livercoin (@Livercoin) March 15, 2019

The recipe for an all-out altcoin season appears to be ready, but it just waiting on the first-ever cryptocurrency to stir the ingredients. It’s interesting to note that the current market conditions appear to closely mimic that of the previous bear market bottoming cycle, where altcoins like Litecoin began to rally significantly relative to BTC. During this time Bitcoin remained relatively stable,, while altcoins soared.

$ltc on $btc – what do you see? pic.twitter.com/HavAhtWTUS

— Polar Hunt (@polar_hunt) March 14, 2019

Some traders believe that the following Bitcoin rally is often due to traders taking profit from alts via trading BTC pairs.

What Happens if Bitcoin Dominance Bounces?

Bitcoin too is at a critical point. The price is near powerful overhead resistance that’s proven to be too difficult to get through throughout 2019 thus far. Each dump has gotten less severe throughout 2019, and if Bitcoin were to rally from its current price of roughly $3,900, overhead resistance would be taken out and a further rally to $4,500 to $5,000 could be in the cards.

If the first-ever crypto were to continue to stagnate, altcoins would rally causing BTC dominance to break down to 2019 lows. But what would happen if BTC dominance bounced at the current support level?

https://twitter.com/zeuszissou/status/1106197728638308356?s=12

For one, the notion of an altcoin season would be over before it ever officially started. The last time Bitcoin dominance spiked to the current level, was during the August 2018 rally fueled by Bitcoin ETF hype. During this rally, altcoins plummeted, despite typically showing correlation with Bitcoin price movements.

The likeliest scenario is that we see an eerily similar environment as was witnessed during the conclusion of the 2014-2015 bear market, where alts began to surge first ahead of Bitcoin, followed by a slow and steady climb for the leading crypto asset. However, if BTC dominance doesn’t break down as charts appear to suggest, the entire market could fall yet again, or Bitcoin could go on a major rally independent of all altcoins.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Tony "The Bull" Severino

Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is a distinguished figure in the cryptocurrency analysis sector, renowned for his in-depth technical expertise and innovative approach to market trends. As the Head of Research at NewsBTC, Tony leads a team dedicated to providing cutting-edge insights and forecasts, helping both novice and experienced traders navigate the complexities of the crypto market.
A seasoned Chartered Market Technician, Tony's prowess in identifying and capitalizing on market patterns is unmatched. His academic and professional journey in market analysis has firmly established him as a leading authority in technical trading strategies. Tony’s approach is heavily influenced by the principles of Elliott Wave Theory, a method known for its rigorous assessment of investor psychology and price movements.

Beyond his role at NewsBTC, Tony is the visionary founder of CoinChartist.io, an educational platform aimed at demystifying the nuances of cryptocurrency trading. CoinChartist.io serves as a valuable resource for traders seeking to enhance their technical analysis skills. The platform offers a range of learning tools and resources designed to empower traders with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.

In addition to his educational initiatives, Tony is a prolific author and a dominant voice in the crypto community. He writes the CoinChartist VIP newsletter, a weekly dispatch that has become a staple among crypto enthusiasts, revered for its insightful analysis and actionable trading advice. This newsletter has consistently ranked as a best-seller on SubStack, boasting thousands of subscribers who rely on Tony’s expertise to guide their trading strategies.

Tony is also celebrated for his literary contributions to the field. He is the author of the highest-rated Crypto Trading Journal on Amazon.com, a testament to his ability to communicate complex trading concepts in an accessible manner. This journal is widely regarded as an essential tool for traders aiming to track their progress and refine their strategies.

Before his ascent in the financial analysis world, Tony honed his skills in journalism. His background in this field has endowed him with a unique ability to present intricate market dynamics in a clear and compelling manner, making his insights highly sought after by a broad audience that ranges from casual readers to professional traders.
His professional affiliations underscore his commitment to excellence and continuous learning. As a partner of Elliott Wave International and TradingView, Tony collaborates with other leading experts to enhance his knowledge and skills. His active membership in the CMT Association further aligns him with the highest standards of industry practices and ethics.

Tony’s nickname, "The Bull," aptly reflects his aggressive and optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency markets. His forecasts often anticipate significant upturns, earning him a reputation for bullish predictions that have frequently led to lucrative outcomes for those who follow his advice.

In summary, Tony "The Bull" Severino, CMT, is more than just a technical analyst; he is a mentor, educator, and innovator whose influence in the cryptocurrency space continues to grow. His dedication to advancing the understanding of market forces and his commitment to providing high-quality, reliable analysis make him a pivotal figure in the world of cryptocurrency trading.