Beyond Bitcoin ETFs: ‘There Are Other Players Controlling This Market’ – Says Analyst

Samuel Edyme

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Recent observations by Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, suggest that the movements in Bitcoin’s price are influenced by factors beyond just the flows of spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

According to Balchunas, who shared his insights on X, “bigger forces at work” shape the largest cryptocurrency’s valuation. This indicates that the correlation between spot ETF flows and Bitcoin’s price action is less direct than some assume.

The ETF Influence And Market Movements

This analysis emerges amid a period of significant financial activity for Grayscale, which has seen substantial outflows, described by Balchunas as experiencing a “second wind” of departures.

Yesterday, Grayscale reported outflows of $281.57 million, marking a notable decrease in its Bitcoin holdings by more than 40% since the inception of spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 11.

This scenario highlights a broader narrative within the cryptocurrency investment sphere, where the relationship between ETF activities and Bitcoin’s market performance is complex and multifaceted.

Interesting is price of bitcoin still went up yesterday and yet it went down second half of last week when Ten saw net inflows = there are other players controlling this market. ETFs def a factor but bigger forces at work here.

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) March 21, 2024

Despite the record outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC, Bitcoin’s market behavior has shown resilience. The cryptocurrency recently exceeded the $67,000 mark before experiencing a slight retracement, currently trading at a price of $66,106.

Bitcoin price chart on TradingView.com — BTC price is moving sideways on the 30-minute chart. Source: BTC/USD on TradingView.com

This movement coincides with comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which seemingly spurred a rally across various risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Powell’s reassurances regarding the outlook on rate cuts prompted a slight recovery in Bitcoin’s price, demonstrating how external economic factors and sentiments can impact cryptocurrency markets. It is worth noting that Bitcoin traded below $65,000 before the announcement.

On-Chain Insights And Bitcoin Future Prospects

Further deepening the analysis, Charles Edwards, a crypto analyst, recently suggested that pullbacks are common in Bitcoin’s bull runs, with corrections of around 30% within the realm of possibility.

A normal Bitcoin bullrun pullback is 30%. Back in December, we were already in the longest winning streak in Bitcoin’s history. A 20% pullback here takes us to $59K. A 30% pullback would be $51K. These are all levels we should be comfortable expecting as possibilities.

— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) March 19, 2024

In related news, data from the on-chain analysis platform CryptoQuant has recently indicated a nearly 40% reduction in Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges over the past four years.

This trend points towards a bullish sentiment within the Bitcoin ecosystem, suggesting that investors are inclined to hold onto their assets in anticipation of future value increases.

Moreover, CryptoQuant’s data reveals that Bitcoin’s demand has consistently outstripped its supply since 2020, a trend that supports the asset’s value on the premise that scarcity enhances perceived value.

This dynamic is expected to intensify following the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, which will reduce the miners’ supply by half, potentially leading to further increases in Bitcoin’s price.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

Samuel Edyme

Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname - HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others.

Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis.

Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics.

When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…)

Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life.

In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps.

Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think's probably unfeasible, I've done already a hundredfold.”

PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.

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