Bitcoin (BTC) Price Weekly Forecast: Downside Thrust Before Fresh Rise?

Aayush Jindal

5 years ago

2 mins read

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There was a steady rise in bitcoin price above the $10,500 resistance against the US Dollar.
The price is currently correcting lower after it traded to a new monthly high close to $11,000.
There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $10,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
There could be a downside correction towards the $10,100 support area before a fresh increase.

Bitcoin price is trading with a bullish bias above $10,000 against the US Dollar. BTC remains buy on dips as long as there is no daily close below $10,000.

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis (BTC)

In the last weekly forecast, we discussed the importance of the $10,000 resistance for bitcoin price against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair remained well bid and managed to surpass the $10,000 resistance. Moreover, there was a break above the $10,500 resistance and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). Finally, the price climbed above the $10,800 level and traded close to the $11,000 level.

A swing high was formed near $10,949 before the price started a downside correction. There was a sharp decline below the $10,800 and $10,500 support levels. Moreover, there was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $9,300 low to $10,949 high. Finally, there was a break below the $10,400 level. However, the price stayed above the $10,000 support and the 100 SMA.

Additionally, the price is trading nicely above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last wave from the $9,300 low to $10,949 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $10,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. If there is a downside break below the trend line support, there could be a sharp decline below $10,000 in the near term.

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $10,600 level. If there is an upside break above $10,600, the price could revisit the $10,800 resistance. Finally, a close above the $11,000 level may perhaps set the pace for a larger upward move towards the $11,700 level.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price seems to be correcting gains, but it is trading nicely above the $10,200 support area. The main support is near $10,000, below which the price could turn bearish in the coming sessions. On the upside, the price might continue to struggle near $10,800 and $11,000. Overall, there could be another dip towards $10,100 before a fresh increase.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is about to move back into the bullish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is slowly rising towards the 55 level.

Major Support Level – $10,000

Major Resistance Level – $10,800

Aayush Jindal

Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
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