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Breaking News: Dogecoin Surges 6% After Elon Musk Unveils Crypto Payment Master Plan
bitcoin bull breakout

Bitcoin Is Bullish, But A Breakout Won’t Arrive Until 2021: Here’s Why

Tony Spilotro by Tony Spilotro
2 years ago
in Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency news, Technical analysis
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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After months of consolidation, Bitcoin broke free from a tight, boring trading range and continued the uptrend that began in early April.

Despite the cryptocurrency turning from bearish to bullish, a full break out into a new bull market won’t arrive until 2021. Here’s what past Bitcoin cycle data predicts for when the asset may retest its former all-time high, and embark on a new bull run.

Bitcoin Turns Bullish After Break Above $10,000, But Bull Market Isn’t Ready Yet

The leading cryptocurrency by market cap last week followed gold’s incredible rally and broke through resistance at $10,000. A fall in the struggling dollar further added to any gains in hard assets like Bitcoin and precious metals.

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Resistance at $10,000, while a key level that has acted as a FOMO trigger in the past, is only one level of many that the asset must break on through before the bull market is here. But bulls are already celebrating preemptively.

Above current levels, resistance at $14,000 proved to be too strong to take out on its first attempt, and a second may not yet break the key level. It took a third attempt to break back above $10,000 before it was possible on the fourth and after weeks of consolidation.

Related Reading | Chartered Market Technician Claims Crypto Poised For Strong Uptrend

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The same could happen as the cryptocurrency approaches the next resistance level.

Beyond that, the crypto asset still has resistance between $16,000 and $17,000 left untested since the bear market first started. And beyond that, the retest of the asset’s former all-time high set at the peak of the crypto bubble would be next.

But according to past Bitcoin market cycle data, that retest of the former peak, may not arrive for another year or more.

Full-Fledge Crypto Market FOMO To Return After Retest of ATH In 2021

Markets are cyclical and history often repeats. And due to Bitcoin’s recurring halving cycle taking place every four years, the asset’s bull and bear markets tend to ebb and flow based on that factor.

Various supply-based theories exist that all point to the halving having a dramatic impact on supply and demand dynamics. The imbalance eventually favors price increase, and the asset goes parabolic once FOMO begins.

Related Reading | How Lengthening Bitcoin Cycles Conflict With Halving Driven Supply Theories

$10,000 triggered FOMO in the past, but hasn’t this time around. It may require the cryptocurrency to retest its former all-time high of $20,000 and break it before mainstream interest returns to the crypto market in a big way.

According to past cycle data, this may not happen for another 175 days or nearly half a year more of price action. Comparing past cycles, Bitcoin took a grand total of 1,143 days from peak to ATH retest.

bitcoin btcusd cycle

BTCUSD Halving Cycles | Source: TradingView

The current cycle is only 959 days in. Comparing the two cycles chart for chart, there’s an upper-right-hand corner of the chart that the crypto asset still needs to fill out. This area of the trading range is surprising left with very little trading activity, and will likely serve as the last range before the full breakout is here.

Bitcoin, historically, has always had major peaks and bottoms in December or January, and this is also where major breakouts have occurred.

A break of the asset’s former all-time high may not arrive until late this year or early next year, putting the next cycle peak somewhere around the end of 2021. And when the world finally realizes that all these years later, Bitcoin is back at the price they could have bought it prior, serious FOMO will ensue.

Tags: bitcoinbtcbtcusdBTCUSDTBull Marketcryptoxbtxbtusd
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Tony Spilotro

Tony Spilotro

I'm Tony Spilotro. Behind the pseudonym, I'm a global remote work leader with a decade of award-winning content experience and excellence. Here, I explore my newfound passions pertaining to privacy, finance, economics, politics, cryptography, property rights, and other libertarian-esque views. I am a Bitcoin evangelist, maximalist, and educator whenever I can be, helping to spread its message of freedom from government control, monetary policy mismanagement, and passing the buck - literally – to future generations. My journey from a curious retail crypto investor to a serious Bitcoin advocate, trader, and technical analyst is an unusual one, but life-changing nonetheless and has become less about money and more about a long-overdue revolution. While a firm believer in the laws governing math and science, I am profoundly fascinated by the impact of astrology and astronomy including moon and solar cycles and planetary alignment and their ability to influence and potentially predict markets. It hasn't yet clicked for me as to how to put anything to use, but I consider it my current rabbit hole I can't yet dig out of. My perspective of growing up alongside the internet, the dot com era, the Great Recession, and roots in video games collecting coins and rare items caused Bitcoin to immediately make sense to me. Through all of these lenses, I seek to produce content that is educational and entertaining, and I thank you sincerely for taking the time to read what I have to say. Please follow me on Twitter at @tonyspilotroBTC and feel free to drop me a line if you would like to work together.

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