Bitcoin Bullish Signal? Small Investors Show Rapid Accumulation

Keshav Verma

1 year ago

3 mins read

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On-chain data shows small Bitcoin holders have accumulated recently while whale holdings have decreased, a sign that may be bullish in the long term.

Bitcoin Investors With 0-1,000 Coins Have Increased Their Holdings Recently

As a Twitter user has pointed out using data from Santiment, holders with wallet amounts in the 0-1,000 coins range have aggressively accumulated at recent lows. The relevant indicator here is the “Bitcoin Supply Distribution,” which tells us which wallet groups are holding what percentage of the total supply right now.

Wallets (or more simply, holders) are divided into wallet bands based on the number of coins they are holding at the moment. For example, the 1-10 coins cohort includes all addresses that are currently carrying at least 1 and at most 10 BTC. The Supply Distribution metric for this group measures the collective balance of all the wallets falling inside this range.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Supply Distribution data for the 0-1,000 coins and 1,000-1,000,000 coins bands:

Looks like the values of the metric for the two groups have moved oppositely to each other in recent days | Source: ₿igMak on Twitter

As you can see above, the Bitcoin Supply Distribution curve for the 1,000-1,000,000 coins band has observed a sharp decline recently. The holders belonging to this group are the whales, which means that the percentage of the supply held by these humongous holders has been going down, suggesting that they have been capitulating during this deep bear market.

The supply share held by the 0-1,000 coins group, on the other hand, has rapidly increased recently, implying that retail investors have been accumulating large amounts during the recent lows in the price of the asset.

From the chart, it’s apparent that such a pattern was also seen during the 2018/2019 bear market, albeit the scale of movement from both these groups was much smaller. Interestingly, this trend only formed in that bear after the cyclical low was already in for BTC.

Thus, if history is anything to go by, this recent accumulation from the 0-1,000 coins group could help Bitcoin form the bottom for the current cycle (if it’s not already in), and therefore reverse the coin towards a bullish trend in the long term.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $16,800, up 1% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 2% in value.

The value of the crypto seems to still be stuck in a sideways trend | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured image from André François McKenzie on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Santiment.net

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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