Can Bitcoin Continue Its Run? These Factors Could Suggest So

Keshav Verma

1 year ago

3 mins read

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Bitcoin has observed a pullback in the past day, but these factors may imply that the cryptocurrency’s rally can continue.

These Factors Could Suggest A Bullish Outcome For Bitcoin

A couple of days back, Bitcoin had started observing some sharp upward momentum, and by yesterday, the cryptocurrency had managed to breach the $28,500 level. In the past day, however, the asset has registered a decline, falling below the $27,500 mark.

While it’s uncertain whether the rally is over or not, some signs can be optimistic for the investors. As explained by the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, two positive developments have occurred related to Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin in the cryptocurrency sector.

The first indicator of relevance here is the “USDT supply on exchanges,” which measures the percentage of the total circulating supply of the stablecoin in the wallets of all centralized exchanges.

Here is a chart that shows the trend in this Tether metric over the past year:

It looks like the value of the indicator has been heading up in recent weeks | Source: Santiment on X

Usually, investors store their capital in the form of a stablecoin like USDT whenever they want to avoid the volatility associated with the other assets in the sector. Such investors generally plan to go back into the volatile side of the market eventually, though, as they would have instead gone for fiat if they didn’t.

Once these holders feel the time is right to dive into Bitcoin and other coins, they trade their stables for their desired cryptocurrencies. Naturally, such a shift provides a bullish boost to whatever assets they buy using their stablecoins.

Investors generally use exchanges for conversions like these, so the current supply on these platforms can be considered potential dry powder ready to be deployed into BTC and others.

The graph shows that the Tether supply on exchanges had plunged to a low of 17.6% a few months back, implying that the available buying pressure from the stablecoin had run out.

Interestingly, this low in June had occurred in the leadup to a sharp Bitcoin rally, implying that the plunge in the exchange reserve of the stablecoin was, in fact, because of it being converted into the asset, thus providing the fuel for the surge. However, the rally back then couldn’t be sustained, as BTC eventually faced a struggle.

In the months since this low, USDT reserves have slowly built back up on exchanges, as 24.7% of the stablecoin’s supply is now sitting on these platforms. Unlike that previous rally, it would appear that this latest surge has a store of potential buying power available that may be deployed at any time.

In the chart, Santiment has also attached the data for another metric: the combined supply of the ten largest Tether whales. It would appear that these humongous investors have also increased their holdings during this period, implying that they also carry significant dry powder now.

It now remains to be seen whether this stored-up USDT will be converted into the cryptocurrency to provide support to the surge in the coming days or not.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $27,400, up 5% in the last week.

BTC has observed some pullback in the past 24 hours | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Santiment.net

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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