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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Ticking Time Bomb: Bitcoin Mega Squeeze Predicted In The Next 10 Days

Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons
1 year ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin price squeeze

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Bitcoin has been moving sideways since mid-January, when the price broke out of a parallel upward channel to the downside. The BTC price is currently around the same price as on January 13. However, the time of dullness could soon be over, as the Bollinger Band Width (BBW) indicator signals.

The BBW is derived from the Bollinger Bands themselves, which consist of a middle line (typically a simple moving average) surrounded by an upper and lower band. These bands expand and contract based on the standard deviation of the price from the mean, which is a measure of volatility. The BBW quantifies the degree of these bands’ divergence or convergence by calculating the ratio of the difference between the upper and lower bands to the middle band.

Bitcoin Mega Squeeze Incoming

In an analysis on X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst HornHairs has drawn attention to the BBW which currently shows a reading close to 0.11. This number is significant because it suggests that the bands are very close together, indicating a period of low volatility or a ‘squeeze.’ He remarked:

BTC MEGA VOL SQUEEZE: We probably have 10 days MAX before a huge move on BTC. Now’s the time to get your plan ready for either direction, don’t want to be stuck in a frozen panic with no plan if things launch upwards or nuke lower. It’s coming very soon.

Bitcoin price BBW
BBW signals imminent Bitcoin price move | Source: X @CryptoHornHairs

Historically, such a squeeze is often followed by a period of high volatility, as the market moves to find a new price equilibrium. The key takeaway from the BBW’s current low reading is that the market should prepare for a sharp increase in volatility, leading to a strong upward or downward movement in Bitcoin’s price.

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The term “Mega Squeeze” used by HornHairs points to the unusually tight convergence of the Bollinger Bands, implying that the subsequent market move could be more pronounced than what is typically observed following a BBW contraction. The last few times the BBW approached such low levels, Bitcoin experienced significant price swings shortly thereafter. These historical precedents serve as a guide to what might occur in the days ahead.

The last instance of the BBW reaching its current low was observed on October 13 last year. Subsequent to this indicator, BTC experienced a significant rally, ascending over 30% in a mere 10 days. In a contrasting scenario, mid-August 2023 saw the BTC value decline by 15% in just 8 days. Additionally, at the outset of January 2023, Bitcoin showcased a remarkable surge, escalating by 40% within a span of 17 days.

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As of press time, Bitcoin was hovering around $42,900, with a recent peak at $49,000 and a local low at $38,600. These price points will be crucial to watch as the market navigates through this period of constricted volatility. The BBW suggests that the breakout, whether bullish or bearish, will likely drive the price towards or even beyond these levels, marking a new phase of market activity.

Renowned crypto analyst CrediBULL commented on the emergence of the indicator: “Volatility soon. Big move coming. My bet is UP and the start of our next impulsive leg that we have been anticipating. Place your bets and pack your bags frens.”

The next key resistance on the 1-day chart of BTC/USD is at $43,340 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement level), while the region at $39,800 (0.386 Fibonacci level) provides key support.

Bitcoin price
BTC price, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
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Jake Simmons
Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons

Jake Simmons, a dedicated crypto journalist, has been passionate about Bitcoin since 2016 when he first learned about it. Through his extensive work with NewsBTC.com and Bitcoinist.com, Jake has become a trusted voice in the crypto community, guiding newcomers and seasoned enthusiasts alike towards a deeper understanding of this dynamic field.

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His mission is simple yet profound: to demystify Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and make them accessible to everyone.
With a professional career in the Bitcoin and crypto scene that began right after graduating with a degree in Information Systems in 2017, Jake has immersed himself in the industry. Jake joined the NewsBTC Group in late 2022. His educational background provides him with the technical prowess and analytical skills necessary to dissect complex topics and present them in an understandable format. Whether you are a casual reader curious about Bitcoin or an investor seeking to navigate the latest market trends, Jake’s insights offer valuable perspectives that bridge the gap between complex technology and everyday usage.

Jake is not just a reporter on technological trends; he is a firm believer in the transformative potential of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. To him, the current financial system is on the brink of chaos, propelled by unchecked government actions and flawed Keynesian economic policies. Drawing from the principles of the Austrian school of economics, Jake views Bitcoin not merely as a digital asset but as a crucial step towards rectifying a failing monetary system. His libertarian views reinforce his stance that just as the church was separated from the state, so too should money be freed from governmental control.

For Jake, Bitcoin represents more than just an investment; it's a peaceful revolution. He envisions a future where Bitcoin fosters a sustainable and responsible financial framework for generations to come. His advocacy is not about opposition but about evolution, about laying the groundwork for a system that prioritizes transparency and equity over secrecy and inequality.

As a journalist, Jake’s articles are crafted with the precision of a scholar and the passion of a true believer. He provides not only news but also thoughtful analysis that connects the dots between daily developments and larger economic theories. His work is a beacon for those lost in the technical jargon often associated with crypto discussions, illuminating the practical implications and benefits of these technologies.

In summary, Jake Simmons is not just reporting on a revolution; he wants to be part of it, fully committed to enhancing public understanding and adoption of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. His work is more than just a collection of articles; it’s a resource, a guide, and a companion for anyone ready to explore the potential of this digital frontier. Whether you are taking your first steps into crypto or are a veteran looking to stay on top of the latest trends, Jake’s insights provide clarity and foresight in an often unpredictable industry. Join him on this journey to reshape the world of finance, one post at a time.

You can engage with his latest takes on Twitter: @realJakeSimmons.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

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