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Breaking News: LINK Price Climbs Following Chainlink's Deal With US Commerce Department, Eyes $30
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Breaking News: LINK Price Climbs Following Chainlink's Deal With US Commerce Department, Eyes $30

Why A Bitcoin Spike To $33,000 Could Signal Danger For Retail Investors

Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez
1 year ago
2 mins read
Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD

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Bitcoin has jumped back from its critical support zone at $31,200 and trades at $31,835, at the time of writing. The first cryptocurrency by market cap has seen an increase in selling pressure during this week. Experts predict another capitulation event, but they can’t agree on the timing and volatility.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
BTC with small gains in the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD Tradingview

Any move to the downside or upside could be built around a crab-like price action with long consolidation periods.

Popular trader and analyst Byzantine General noted the flip in funding rates on exchange BitMex and the increase in short positions. This is usually taken as a bottom sign as liquidity piles to the upside, giving market makers the opportunity to push the prices to those levels to drive further plays. The trader said:

Cause and effect lads. Nothing ever bottoms out when majority retail is long (or short) on it. Some signs of short aggression now, but no spot bid to blow them out so the shorting is just more pressure. Not sure what’s next. Mebeh 30k, futs backwardation, them omega squeeze.

As seen in the chart below, monitor KingFisher has recorded a lot of liquidity pools around $33,000 and $34,000 with indications of rising volatility. Thus, it’s possible to assume that big players have more incentives for Bitcoin to take the liquidity around these levels.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: The KingFisher

Additional data provided with CryptoQuant indicates that over 14,550 BTC have entered exchange platforms. As seen below, this spike in exchange inflows has historically been followed by small moves to the upside and larger drops. A similar scenario could be in play.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: CryptoQuant

Two Potential Scenarios For Bitcoin As The Market Trends To The Downside

Pseudonym trader Daan Crypto believes Bitcoin is stuck in the low of the downtrend channel. The first cryptocurrency by market cap seems weak, Daan said, and could test new lows in the $30,000.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSD
Source: Daan Crypto (@Daancrypto)

In case of a retrace to those levels at $30,000, the trader expects BTC’s price to follow two scenarios. First, the cryptocurrency could continue to break below its critical support zone and beyond its yearly open at around $29,000.

In this case, the trader expects Bitcoin to drop below the area between $23,000 to $26,000. This could be an ideal zone to take a long position.

Otherwise, if Bitcoin holds support close to its yearly open, the former scenario could be invalidated, and the cryptocurrency might retake the $30,000 level. This could set the stage for a more convincing recovery to Bitcoin’s previous highs.

On the other hand, pseudonym trader Rekt Capital believes Bitcoin could be forming a triple bottom. The trader expects a daily close above $31,500 could be a bullish signal with a price target up at $38,900.

The Triple Bottom scenario for #BTC is still very much alive at the moment$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/lW6xVa5WYh

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) July 16, 2021

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Reynaldo Marquez
Reynaldo Marquez

Reynaldo Marquez

A literature major, Reynaldo Márquez has been deeply immersed in the crypto industry since 2017. His journey began with translating articles for various crypto news outlets, a role he took on with zeal. In 2018, amidst a challenging market, he embraced his first writing assignment, demonstrating his unwavering commitment to the nascent industry and the promise of change it bears for many people worldwide.
In March 2021, he joined the prestigious crypto news outlet NewsBTC and Bitcoinist, where he not only reported on the latest crypto news but also had the privilege of interviewing some of the industry's most influential figures. A year later, his dedication and hard work were recognized, and he was promoted to Managing Editor, a position he currently holds with pride.
He believes in honesty, good communication, hard work, and the power of cryptocurrency and its potential to transform people's lives, especially those alienated by the legacy financial system. Born in 1992 in Venezuela, Reynaldo is familiar with how governments and central banks can negatively affect people, their everyday lives, and their futures by creating inflation and erasing their hopes for a better future. Thus, like many Venezuelans, he embraced this new technology to help him and his family navigate difficult times.
In another life, Reynaldo would have pursued a career as an investigator, most likely tracking down the origins of the Cyberpunk movement with the publication of William Gibson’s ‘Neuromancer.’ The intersection between fiction and reality, with the materialization of Bitcoin in 2009, would have allowed him to dive deep into the crypto sphere as something more than a financial phenomenon but also a cultural shift in society that was brewing since the XX century, and maybe even sooner, in the XIX century with the publication of Henry David Thoreau’s ‘Civil Disobedience.’
But that’s for another life. In this one, Reynaldo has been trading to improve his trading skills. Since 2023, he has been trying to learn Python to create successful strategies and find ways to execute them. It is a difficult task, which continues to keep him busy today and will most likely continue to keep him busy in the near and long term.
In his free time, he enjoys lifting heavy objects, reading, watching movies, and listening to his favorite music. Some of his favorite authors are Walt Whitman, William Faulkner, Allen Ginsberg, James Baldwin, Raymond Carver, Ray Bradbury, George Orwell, Mario Vargas Llosa, Reinaldo Arenas, Rafael Cadenas, and many others. Lately, he has been primarily interested in reading about dystopic societies, a topic that deeply resonates with the crypto industry.
Since 2023, he has lived in Spain with his wife. He loves the weather, the food, and the people and their culture. They both expect to travel much more within the country they now call home and beyond its border. He hopes to retire with his wife, maybe in a quiet place near a beach, but most likely in a city close to a library and a university with his kids and, hopefully, grandkids.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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