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Breaking News: Celsius Founder Alex Mashinsky Receives 12-Year Prison Sentence

Bitcoin Spot To Derivatives Flow Forms Historical Bullish Pattern

Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma
2 years ago
3 mins read
Bitcoin

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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin flow from spot exchanges to derivatives exchanges is currently painting a trend that has historically been bullish for the crypto’s price.

Bitcoin Spot To Derivatives Exchanges Flow Starts Sharp Decline

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC spot to derivatives flow may be hinting at a bullish outcome for the crypto.

The “spot exchanges to derivatives exchanges flow” is an indicator that measures the total amount of Bitcoin moving from spot wallets to derivatives wallets.

When the value of this metric rises, it means a higher number of coins are now being transferred to derivatives exchanges from spot as investors look to open futures positions.

In the past, the indicator’s value has usually moved faster whenever the price of the crypto has observed a large decrease.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin spot exchanges to derivatives exchanges flow over the last few years:

Bitcoin Spot To Derivatives Flow

The value of the metric seems to have been observing a sharp decrease in recent weeks | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, the quant has marked the relevant portions of trend of the Bitcoin spot to derivatives flow.

It looks like whenever the indicator has observed a sharp increase to high values followed by a plunge, the value of the crypto has started climbing up.

Related Reading | When Greed? Bitcoin Market Crushed Under One Full Month Of Fear

During 2018, 2020, and 2021, this pattern formed shortly after the coin’s price had a sharp decrease and hit a bottom.

This trend may show that as Bitcoin approaches a bottom, whales start sending large amounts of the crypto to derivatives exchanges for opening long positions, hence creating a large spike on the chart.

Just recently, the spot to derivatives flow’s value sharply rose up, and now it seems to be plunging back downwards.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Bullish Signal: Exchange Reserves Hit New 4-Year Lows

This could mean that the metric has once again started to form the same pattern, and if history is anything to go by, this can prove to be bullish for the crypto’s price, at least in the short term.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $29.5k, up 1% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 2% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Looks like the value of the crypto has been going down over the last few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Bitcoin seemed to be gaining some footing over the $30k level recently, but today the coin has once again slumped back below the mark.

Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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Keshav Verma
Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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