Amid Bitcoin Hype, Seasoned Trader Predicts Sudden Drop To This Level

Christian Encila

3 weeks ago

2 mins read

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Bitcoin is at a crossroads again. Prices have been bouncing between $61,000 and $104,000 for about seven months. That range looks a lot like the $31,000–$64,000 sideways move before the sharp drop in early 2022. Traders and analysts are split over whether history is about to repeat itself or if fresh demand will keep Bitcoin aloft.

Price Stuck In Familiar Range

According to reports, Bitcoin’s stretch from $61k to $104k mirrors the 2020–2021 “distribution zone” when it traded between $31,000 and $64,000 for nearly a year. Back then, the slide came fast: Bitcoin peaked around $69,000 in November 2021, then sank to roughly $15,600 by November 2022. That was a nearly 78% plunge.

Breakouts Keep Falling Flat

Based on analysis from Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin tried and failed to stay above the $106k level this month. His chart showed a quick rejection at that barrier, triggering long‑side liquidations. The price slipped back to the $104k–$105k zone after the failed push higher. Traders see each unsuccessful breakout as a warning sign of distribution.

November 2021 all over again? pic.twitter.com/lIA6QFhD9S

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) June 14, 2025

Risk Of Steep Slide

According to veteran trader Peter Brandt, strong fundamentals often shine brightest right before a market top. He pointed out that if today’s setup leads to a similar 78% drop from the $105k band, Bitcoin could fall toward $23,600. His simple math recalls last cycle’s move from around $69k down to $15,500.

Growing Demand Meets Technical Barriers

Based on reports of spot ETFs and growing buys by institutions and governments, some believe the floor is firmer now. Huge investment flows into Bitcoin have never been higher. Yet technical hurdles remain. The inability to clear $105k makes some analysts cautious.

Bitcoin is now trading at $105,718. Chart: TradingView

Long Term Signals Still Bullish

Trader Tardigrade noted that Bitcoin’s 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages recently formed a golden cross. In past cycles, that pattern led to gains of 50%, 125%, and 65%. It points to a possible rally if buyers step in around current levels.

What It Means For Investors

Bitcoin’s tug‑of‑war between caution and optimism is clear. On one side, pattern watchers warn of a big drop if support breaks. On the other, strong hands from big players may cushion any slide and spark a rally. Investors should keep an eye on $104k–$105k for signs of weakness or strength.

A break below could open the door to a move toward $23,500. Conversely, a clean break above $106k might signal the next leg up. Regardless, volatility looks set to stay high, so risk management remains key.

Featured image from Imagen, chart from TradingView

Christian Encila

They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that's not just a metaphor, it's a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian's journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling - right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he's one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian's all work and no play? Not a chance! When he's not at his computer, you'll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian's got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here's the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day - and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors - and bosses - he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.