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Breaking News: Coinbase Confirms DOJ Investigation Following Major Security Incident

Market Analysts Outline When The First Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Be Approved

Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson
1 year ago
3 mins read
Spot Bitcoin ETF

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In a recent development, analysts at asset management firm Bernstein have predicted when the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will likely approve the first Spot Bitcoin ETF.

When Will The First Spot Bitcoin ETF Be Approved?

According to the analysts, the pending Spot Bitcoin ETF applications could be approved early next year. They made this projection in line with the recent court ruling in the Grayscale case, which they believe could force the SEC’s hands. 

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The court had ruled in favor of Grayscale in a case in which the asset manager argued that the Commission had acted arbitrarily and capriciously by not giving its Spot Bitcoin ETF application the same regulatory treatment it did to Bitcoin futures ETFs. As part of its ruling, the court ordered the Commission to review the application again.

Many saw this as a major win and proof that a Spot Bitcoin ETF was imminent, with Bloomberg analysts also weighing in and increasing the likelihood of these pending funds launching this year to 75%. They stated that “the unanimity and decisiveness of [the] ruling was beyond expectations,” with the SEC having little or nothing to hang on to.

The analysts at Bernstein also seem to adopt this view as they noted that the SEC would simply go the “middle route” and be more open to approving these ETFs rather than “inventing another reason for refusal” and sticking to the strict approach which they have taken on the crypto industry so far. 

This projection also seems feasible since the SEC must decide (approve or deny) on the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF by January 10, 2024. 

Considering that the court has overruled the primary reason why the SEC has continued to deny these applications, the Commission might have difficulty coming up with another convincing reason to deny the application.

Before then, the SEC will be expected to decide on some pending applications in October. However, the Commission can delay its decision on them once again. 

ETFs Integral To The Crypto Asset Management Industry

Bernstein’s analysts also project the crypto asset management industry to grow from its current level (between $45 to $50 billion) to over $500 billion in the next five years. These ETFs, which they project could launch early next year, are part of the factors they believe could spur such growth.

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According to them, there will be increased demand from institutional investors in crypto assets, and funds such as a Spot Bitcoin ETF will be their go-to option. A Spot Bitcoin ETF will allow these investors to invest directly in the flagship cryptocurrency in a regulated manner.  

In line with this, they expect the ETFs to hold 10% of the Bitcoin and Ethereum market cap and “5-6% share for liquid crypto hedge funds.”

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (Spot Bitcoin ETF)

BTC price sitting above $26,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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Scott Matherson
Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson

Scott Matherson is a prominent crypto writer at NewsBTC with a knack for capturing the pulse of the market, covering pivotal shifts, technological advancements, and regulatory changes with precision. Having witnessed the evolving landscape of the crypto world firsthand, Scott is able to dissect complex crypto topics and present them in an accessible and engaging manner. Scott's dedication to clarity and accuracy has made him an indispensable asset, helping to demystify the complex world of cryptocurrency for countless readers.

Read more

Scott’s experience spans a number of industries outside of crypto including banking and investment. He has brought his vast experience from these industries into crypto, which allows him to understand even the most complex topics and break them down in a way that is easy for readers from all works of life to understand. Scott’s pieces have helped to break down cryptocurrency processes and how they work, as well as the underlying groundbreaking technology that makes them so important to everyday life.

With years of experience in the crypto market, Scott began to focus on his true passion: writing. During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others.

Scott’s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott’s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry.

Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors.
In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else.

Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies.

Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

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